Match Info

2. Bundesliga - Round 6

Date: 18 September 2026, Friday

Location: Volkswagen Arena (Wolfsburg)

Referee: Petersen M. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Wolfsburg		Darmstadt

	1	X	2
	1.50	4.33	5.50	Watch
	1.53	4.60	5.50
	1.45	4.5	5.5	Watch
	1.54	4.82	5.74
	1.49	4.78	5.74	Watch
	1.53	4.75	5.7
	1.49	4.55	5.57	Watch
	1.49	4.7	5.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.5 ↓ (1.57)	4.63 ↑ (4.23)	5.58 ↑ (4.98)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Wolfsburg
62.7%

Draw
20.4%

Darmstadt
16.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.3%

22%

18.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.3%

21.3%

18.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Wolfsburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

Darmstadt has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wolfsburg than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Darmstadt than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
84.6%	15.4%	0%

Wolfsburg - Darmstadt Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1 - Wolfsburg (1.81) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

New Consensus by Tipsters:

1X2 - Wolfsburg (1.50) (votes: 91%) ⭐ Best Value.

Users Predictions: Wolfsburg will win (11 of 13 users predict this - 84.62%).
Confidence interval (95%): 65.01% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Wolfsburg (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Zielinski J. (G) 26. Kumbedi S. 6. Wahl H. (C) 33. Cleiton 21. Maehle J. 20. Damar M. 5. Vini Souza 31. Gerhardt Y. 17. Bernhardsson A. 19. Glatzel R. 11. Reese F.	1. Schuhen M. (C) 28. Lannert C. 6. Pfeiffer P. 20. Vukotic A. 18. Petretta R. 23. Sickinger C. 17. Klefisch K. 10. Verkooijen N. 36. Smit M. 7. Weisshaupt N. 9. Lee Ho-Jae
Substitutes
18. Adjetey J. 22. Angely M. 27. Arnold M. 23. Besio A. 8. Dardai B. 2. Fischer K. 14. Hensel P. 12. Pervan P. (G) 7. Shiogai K.	30. Brunst A. (G) 41. Duijvestijn L. 11. El Kadiri I. 44. Furukawa Y. 3. Kleinhansl F. 19. Lakenmacher F. 49. Luhrs Y. 25. Mikelbrencis W. 5. Richter M.
Coaches
Strobl T.	Kohfeldt F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
14', 1 - 0, Bernhardsson A. ⚽, Reese F. (A),
29', 1 - 1, Smit M. ⚽, Klefisch K. (A),
38', Petretta R. 🟨,
40', 2 - 1, Glatzel R. ⚽, Bernhardsson A. (A),
42', Damar M. 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
51', Verkooijen N. 🟨,
61', 3 - 1, Bernhardsson A. ⚽, Reese F. (A),
66', 4 - 1, Damar M. ⚽, Maehle J. (A),
68', Petretta R. ↓, Mikelbrencis W. ↑,
68', Lee Ho-Jae ↓, Duijvestijn L. ↑,
70', Kumbedi S. 🟨,
76', Vini Souza ↓, Arnold M. ↑,
76', Gerhardt Y. ↓, Dardai B. ↑,
80', 5 - 1, Glatzel R. ⚽, Reese F. (A),
83', Kumbedi S. ↓, Fischer K. ↑,
84', Glatzel R. ↓, Besio A. ↑,
84', Sickinger C. ↓, Richter M. ↑,
84', Smit M. ↓, El Kadiri I. ↑,
86', Damar M. ↓, Hensel P. ↑,
90', Hensel P. 🟨,

Preview

This match features one of the top teams against an opponent battling near the bottom (ranked 5th and 16th in the 2. Bundesliga (Relegation)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Wolfsburg won 3.

Wolfsburg has displayed good consistency in recent games (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Performances by Darmstadt have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Recently, Wolfsburg has faced a series of away games on the road.

Wolfsburg carries the favorite tag into this contest.

Confirmed absences for Wolfsburg: Benedict T. (Injury) Eriksen C. (Heart Problems) Hornby F. (Injury) Rogerio (Muscle Injury) Wellenreuther T. (Knee Injury).

Confirmed absences for Darmstadt: Akiyama H. (Thigh Injury) Marseiler L. (Knee Injury) Nurnberger F. (Muscle Injury) Papela M. (Knee Injury).

In the last 7 head-to-head meetings, Wolfsburg has recorded 5 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 9:4 (averaging 1.3:0.6 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Wolfsburg against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with 5:1 goals (averaging 1.7:0.3 per game).

Outrights of German 2 Bundesliga for now

Wolfsburg: 31.48% Darmstadt: 1%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Wolfsburg	7	3	3	1	19:12	7	12
14	Darmstadt	7	2	1	4	8:14	-6	7

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- VfL Wolfsburg
German 2 Bundesliga
12.09.26	St. Pauli - Wolfsburg	1:0 ✺
05.09.26	Wolfsburg - Energie Cottbus	4:4 ✺
29.08.26	Karlsruher - Wolfsburg	2:5 ✺
German DFB Pokal
24.08.26	Altglienicke - Wolfsburg	3:4 penalties ✺
German 2 Bundesliga
16.08.26	Hannover - Wolfsburg	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 LTWWW
- SV Darmstadt 98
German 2 Bundesliga
11.09.26	Darmstadt - Arminia Bielefeld	2:1 ✺
05.09.26	Kaiserslautern - Darmstadt	3:0 ✺
30.08.26	Darmstadt - Hannover	0:1 ✺
German DFB Pokal
23.08.26	Carl Zeiss Jena - Darmstadt	1:2 ✺
German 2 Bundesliga
16.08.26	Dynamo Dresden - Darmstadt	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

German Bundesliga
04.05.24	Wolfsburg - Darmstadt	3:0
16.12.23	Darmstadt - Wolfsburg	0:1
18.03.17	Wolfsburg - Darmstadt	1:0
22.10.16	Darmstadt - Wolfsburg	3:1
19.03.16	Wolfsburg - Darmstadt	1:1
24.10.15	Darmstadt - Wolfsburg	0:1
German DFB Pokal
17.08.14	Darmstadt - Wolfsburg	0:1 penalties

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