Match Info

Bundesliga - Round 18

Date: 17 January 2026, Saturday

Location: Volkswagen Arena (Wolfsburg)

Referee: Welz T. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


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World	Onefootball


	Wolfsburg		Heidenheim

	1	X	2
	1.67	4.1	4.75	Watch
	1.7	3.95	4.7	Watch
	1.7	4.05	4.69	Watch
	1.67	3.8	4.5
	1.7	4.19	4.86	Watch
	1.72	3.8	4.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.69 ↑ (1.59)	3.98 ↓ (4.3)	4.71 ↓ (5.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Wolfsburg
56%

Draw
23.8%

Heidenheim
20.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.9%

22.1%

18%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.5%

21.9%

17.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Wolfsburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

Heidenheim has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wolfsburg than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Heidenheim than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
78.8%	9.1%	12.1%

Wolfsburg - Heidenheim Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

AH +0.75 - Heidenheim (1.94) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Wolfsburg will win (26 of 33 users predict this - 78.79%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.84% – 92.74%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Wolfsburg will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Wolfsburg (votes: 6 - 75%). Heidenheim (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Grabara K. (G) 41. Burger J. 15. Jenz M. 4. Koulierakis K. 25. Zehnter A. 31. Gerhardt Y. 27. Arnold M. (C) 24. Eriksen C. 10. Majer L. 39. Wimmer P. 9. Amoura M.	41. Ramaj D. (G) 2. Busch M. 6. Mainka P. (C) 5. Gimber B. 19. Fohrenbach J. 21. Beck A. 3. Schoppner J. 22. Ibrahimovic A. 30. Dorsch N. 18. Pieringer M. 17. Honsak M.
Substitutes
11. Daghim A. 2. Fischer K. 37. Hensel P. 26. Kumbedi S. 19. Lindstrom J. 40. Paredes K. 12. Pervan P. (G) 3. Vavro D. 5. Vini Souza	40. Feller F. (G) 29. Kaufmann M. 20. Kerber L. 16. Niehues J. 9. Schimmer S. 4. Siersleben T. 25. Stergiou L. 23. Traore O. H. 38. Wagner Y.
Coaches
Bauer D.	Schmidt F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
16', Arnold M. 🟨,
26', Busch M. 🟨,
29', Dorsch N. 🟨,
45+1', 0 - 1, Beck A. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Zehnter A. ↓, Paredes K. ↑,
58', Fohrenbach J. 🟨,
59', Eriksen C. 🟨,
59', Burger J. ↓, Kumbedi S. ↑,
60', Majer L. ↓, Daghim A. ↑,
69', Paredes K. 🟨,
71', Gerhardt Y. ↓, Lindstrom J. ↑,
77', Beck A. ↓, Schimmer S. ↑,
77', Fohrenbach J. ↓, Stergiou L. ↑,
80', 1 - 1, Jenz M. ⚽, Eriksen C. (A),
87', Pieringer M. ↓, Kaufmann M. ↑,
87', Dorsch N. ↓, Kerber L. ↑,
89', Lindstrom J. 🟨,
90', Honsak M. ↓, Traore O. H. ↑,

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 11 and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Wolfsburg won 3.

Wolfsburg has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Heidenheim is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Wolfsburg may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Wolfsburg is a strong favorite.

There will not play in Wolfsburg: Dardai B. (Knee Injury) Maehle J. (Shoulder Injury) Rogerio (Muscle Injury) Wind J. (Thigh Injury)

There will not play in Heidenheim: Feller F. (Knee Injury) Paqarada L. (Knee Injury) Zivzivadze B. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Wolfsburg: Muller M. (Injury) Seelt J. (Illness)

There are questionable in Heidenheim: Behrens H. (Injury)

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Wolfsburg won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 14:5. (average 2:0.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Wolfsburg won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:2. (average 2:0.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- VfL Wolfsburg
German Bundesliga
14.01.26	Wolfsburg - St. Pauli	2:1 ✺
11.01.26	Bayern Munich - Wolfsburg	8:1 ✺
20.12.25	Wolfsburg - Freiburg	3:4 ✺
13.12.25	Borussia Mönchengladbach - Wolfsburg	1:3 ✺
06.12.25	Wolfsburg - Union Berlin	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 WLLWW
- 1. FC Heidenheim 1846
German Bundesliga
13.01.26	Mainz - Heidenheim	2:1 ✺
10.01.26	Heidenheim - Köln	2:2 ✺
21.12.25	Heidenheim - Bayern Munich	0:4 ✺
13.12.25	St. Pauli - Heidenheim	2:1 ✺
06.12.25	Heidenheim - Freiburg	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 LTLLW

Latest Head to Head

German Bundesliga
23.08.25	Heidenheim - Wolfsburg	1:3
29.03.25	Wolfsburg - Heidenheim	0:1
10.11.24	Heidenheim - Wolfsburg	1:3
20.01.24	Heidenheim - Wolfsburg	1:1
19.08.23	Wolfsburg - Heidenheim	2:0
German DFB Pokal
26.10.16	Heidenheim - Wolfsburg	0:1
29.10.14	Wolfsburg - Heidenheim	4:1

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