Match Info

2. Bundesliga - Round 8

Date: 17 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Volkswagen Arena (Wolfsburg) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Bauer T. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Argentina	08:00	Disney+, FOX Sports
Armenia	15:00	Fast Sports
Australia	22:00	beIN Connect
Austria	13:00	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria Top Event, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3, Sky Sport Bundesliga 7
Bosnia And Herzegovina	13:00	Arena Sport 4P
Brazil	08:00	Canal GOAT
Bulgaria	14:00	Diema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra
Chile	08:00	Disney+
Colombia	06:00	Disney+
Czech Republic	13:00	Nova Sport 3, Oneplay
Denmark	13:00	Viaplay
Finland	14:00	Viaplay
Germany	13:00	Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3, Sky Sport Bundesliga 7, Sky Sport Top Event, WOW
Hong Kong	19:00	beIN Sports 2, Now Player
Iceland	11:00	Viaplay
Israel	14:00	Sport 3
Kosovo	13:00	Arena Premium 4
Laos	18:00	beIN Connect
Malaysia	19:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, Sooka
Malta	13:00	GO TV, TSN Malta 5
Netherlands	13:00	Viaplay
New Zealand	00:00	beIN Connect
Norway	13:00	Viaplay, V Sport 1
Peru	06:00	Disney+
Philippines	19:00	beIN Connect
Poland	13:00	Eleven Sports 2
Portugal	12:00	DAZN / App
Romania	14:00	Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 4
Saudi Arabia	14:00	MBC Shahid
Serbia	13:00	Arena Premium 4
Singapore	19:00	beIN Sports 3
Slovakia	13:00	Nova Sport 3, Voyo
Slovenia	13:00	Sport TV1
Sweden	13:00	Viaplay
Switzerland	13:00	Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3, Sky Sport Bundesliga 7, Sky Sport Top Event
Thailand	18:00	beIN Connect
Uruguay	08:00	Disney+
Venezuela	07:00	Disney+
International	11:00	OneFootball TV


	Wolfsburg		Heidenheim

	1	X	2
	1.6	4.33	4.33	Watch
	1.63	4.50	4.50
	1.6	4.3	4.2	Watch
	1.66	4.55	5.14
	1.67	4.21	4.64	Watch
	1.64	4.3	5.1
	1.64	4.1	4.65	Watch
	1.63	4.5	4.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.63 ↓ (1.76)	4.35 ↑ (4.07)	4.61 ↑ (3.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

The best margin for this event is 1.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Wolfsburg
57.8%

Draw
21.7%

Heidenheim
20.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

52.9%

22.9%

24.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.9%

22.4%

23.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Wolfsburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

Heidenheim has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wolfsburg than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Heidenheim than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
71.4%	28.6%	0%

Wolfsburg - Heidenheim Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Wolfsburg will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Wolfsburg (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (1.36) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Wellenreuther T. (G) 26. Kumbedi S. 6. Wahl H. (C) 33. Cleiton 21. Maehle J. 31. Gerhardt Y. 5. Vini Souza 20. Damar M. 17. Bernhardsson A. 19. Glatzel R. 11. Reese F.	33. Dahne T. (G) 22. Mhamdi O. 6. Mainka P. (C) 19. Fohrenbach J. 27. Heule M. 8. Hennrich P. 3. Schoppner J. 16. Niehues J. 10. Conteh C. 29. Kaufmann M. 18. Vogt A.
Substitutes
18. Adjetey J. 22. Angely M. 27. Arnold M. 23. Besio A. 8. Dardai B. 2. Fischer K. 37. Rexhbecaj E. 7. Shiogai K. 30. Zielinski J. (G)	24. Costly M. 1. Feller F. (G) 17. Honsak M. 20. Kerber L. 28. Kolle A. 4. Siersleben T. 38. Wagner Y. 41. Zrilic M.
Coaches
Strobl T.	Schmidt F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
1', 1 - 0, Bernhardsson A. ⚽, Vini Souza (A),
21', 1 - 1, Mainka P. ⚽, Schoppner J. (A),
32', Wahl H. 🟨,
45+1', 2 - 1, Glatzel R. ⚽, Maehle J. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Conteh C. ↓, Costly M. ↑,
58', Wellenreuther T. 🟨,
62', Reese F. 🟨,
64', Gerhardt Y. ↓, Rexhbecaj E. ↑,
65', 3 - 1, Damar M. ⚽, Reese F. (A),
67', Niehues J. ↓, Honsak M. ↑,
69', Heule M. 🟨,
79', Hennrich P. ↓, Wagner Y. ↑,
79', Reese F. ↓, Besio A. ↑,
85', Besio A. 🟨,
89', Damar M. ↓, Shiogai K. ↑,
89', Bernhardsson A. ↓, Dardai B. ↑,
89', Costly M. ↓, Siersleben T. ↑,

Preview

A high-stakes showdown between two teams from the upper tier of the standings (ranked 5th and 3rd in the Promotion - Bundesliga (Promotion: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Wolfsburg won 2.

Both teams have shown inconsistent performances in recent matches.

Heidenheim could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Bookmakers give the edge to Wolfsburg for this game.

Confirmed absences for Wolfsburg: Benedict T. (Injury) Cleiton (Inactive) Hornby F. (Injury) Rogerio (Muscle Injury) Svanberg M. (Inactive).

Confirmed absences for Heidenheim: Breunig M. (Muscle Injury) Conteh S. (Lacking Match Fitness).

Doubtful / questionable for Heidenheim: Costly M. (Muscle Injury).

In the last 8 head-to-head meetings, Wolfsburg has recorded 5 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 15:6 (averaging 1.9:0.8 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Wolfsburg against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with 7:3 goals (averaging 1.8:0.8 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Wolfsburg	9	4	4	1	23:14	9	16
6	Heidenheim	9	4	3	2	16:16	0	15

Outrights of German 2 Bundesliga for now

Wolfsburg: 27.67% Heidenheim: 4.29%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- VfL Wolfsburg
German 2 Bundesliga
10.10.26	Nürnberg - Wolfsburg	4:4 ✺
Club Friendly
01.10.26	Wolfsburg - TSV Havelse	4:1 ✺
German 2 Bundesliga
18.09.26	Wolfsburg - Darmstadt	5:1 ✺
12.09.26	St. Pauli - Wolfsburg	1:0 ✺
05.09.26	Wolfsburg - Energie Cottbus	4:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 TWWLT
- 1. FC Heidenheim 1846
German 2 Bundesliga
09.10.26	Heidenheim - Kaiserslautern	0:0 ✺
Club Friendly
02.10.26	Heidenheim - Würzburger Kickers	3:1 ✺
25.09.26	Stuttgart - Heidenheim	3:0 ✺
German 2 Bundesliga
20.09.26	Arminia Bielefeld - Heidenheim	2:2 ✺
13.09.26	Heidenheim - Holstein Kiel	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 TWLTW

Latest Head to Head

German Bundesliga
17.01.26	Wolfsburg - Heidenheim	1:1
23.08.25	Heidenheim - Wolfsburg	1:3
29.03.25	Wolfsburg - Heidenheim	0:1
10.11.24	Heidenheim - Wolfsburg	1:3
20.01.24	Heidenheim - Wolfsburg	1:1
19.08.23	Wolfsburg - Heidenheim	2:0
German DFB Pokal
26.10.16	Heidenheim - Wolfsburg	0:1

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