Match Info

Southern League Premier Central - Round 28

Date: 17 March 2026, Tuesday 🏁 Finished


	Real Bedford		Worcester City

	1	X	2
	2	3.5	2.95
	2.08	3.35	3
	2.11	3.4	3.14
	2.08	3.7	3.13	Watch
	2.05	3.1	3.1
	2.07	3.3	3.17
	2	3.6	3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.06 ↑ (2.03)	3.42 ↓ (3.83)	3.1 (3.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real Bedford
44.2%

Draw
26.5%

Worcester City
29.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

45.8%

24.3%

30%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.3%

23.5%

29%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Bedford has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Worcester City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Bedford than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Worcester City than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

Real Bedford - Worcester City Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Southern League Premier Central (Play Offs: ) and 10).

Real Bedford is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Worcester has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Real Bedford may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Real Bedford will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Real Bedford won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Real Bedford	14	10	2	2	37:17	20	32
19	Worcester	12	2	4	6	11:16	-5	10

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Bedford
English Southern League Central Division
14.03.26	Harborough Town - Real Bedford	1:1 ✺
07.03.26	Quorn - Real Bedford	1:0 ✺
03.03.26	Real Bedford - Needham Market	2:2 ✺
24.02.26	Alvechurch - Real Bedford	3:4 ✺
21.02.26	Stourbridge - Real Bedford	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 TLTWL
- Worcester City
English Southern League Central Division
14.03.26	Worcester City - Barwell	2:1 ✺
07.03.26	Harborough Town - Worcester City	1:0 ✺
03.03.26	Bishops Stortford - Worcester City	1:2 ✺
28.02.26	Royston Town - Worcester City	0:2 ✺
21.02.26	Bromsgrove Sporting - Worcester City	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League Central Division
20.09.25	Worcester City - Real Bedford	1:3

Real Bedford - Worcester City