Match Info

NPL Premier Division - Round 19

Date: 22 November 2025, Saturday


	Workington		Warrington Town

	1	X	2
	2.68	3.15	2.38
	2.39	3.58	2.63	Watch
	2.69	3.18	2.35
	2.84	3.5	2.18
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.65 ↑ (2.39)	3.35 ↓ (3.58)	2.39 ↓ (2.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Workington
34.5%

Draw
27.2%

Warrington Town
38.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.8%

25.9%

35.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.1%

26.1%

35%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Workington has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

Warrington Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Workington than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Warrington Town than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

Workington - Warrington Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', 0 - 1, Thompson M. ⚽,
54', 1 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 21 in the zone Relegation and 8).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Workington won 1.

Workington has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Warrington is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Warrington may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Workington won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:8. (average 1.2:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Workington won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:4. (average 1.3:1.3).

Last Results with these Odds

Workington - the odds 2.39 are the expected chance of winning is 38.81%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Workington
English NPL Premier Division
18.11.25	Workington - Guiseley	0:1 ✺
15.11.25	Rushall Olympic - Workington	3:3 ✺
08.11.25	Workington - Hyde United	3:2 ✺
01.11.25	Stocksbridge Park Steels - Workington	0:1 ✺
21.10.25	Workington - Gainsborough Trinity	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.2 LTWWL
- Warrington Town
English NPL Premier Division
15.11.25	Hyde United - Warrington Town	1:4 ✺
11.11.25	Warrington Town - United of Manchester	3:0 ✺
08.11.25	Warrington Town - Stockton Town	2:0 ✺
01.11.25	Hebburn Town - Warrington Town	8:0 ✺
28.10.25	Warrington Town - Ashton United	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23.2 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

English NPL Premier Division
26.02.19	Workington - Warrington Town	0:2
04.09.18	Warrington Town - Workington	2:0
27.03.18	Warrington Town - Workington	1:1
05.09.17	Workington - Warrington Town	1:1
11.02.17	Workington - Warrington Town	3:1
15.10.16	Warrington Town - Workington	1:2

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