Match Info
National League North - Round 40Date: 21 March 2026, Saturday
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Buxton |
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Bedford Town |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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1.8 |
4 |
3.25 |
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1.82 |
3.6 |
3.4 |
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1.85 |
3.85 |
3.4 |
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1.87 |
4.29 |
3.21 |
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1.86 |
4.43 |
3.28 |
Watch |
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1.85 |
3.8 |
3.4 |
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1.75 |
4.1 |
3.53 |
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Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.83 ↑ (1.65) |
4.01 ↓ (4.02) |
3.35 ↓ (4.49) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
- The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Buxton 50% | Draw 22.8% | Bedford Town 27.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Buxton has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Buxton's form might have worsened.Bedford Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Bedford Town's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Buxton than the current prediction. (+8.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Buxton, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bedford Town than the current prediction. (-7.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Bedford Town, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.Buxton - Bedford Town Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (3 - 0)
- 22', 1 - 0, Johnston J. ⚽,
- 30', Brown E. 🟥,
- 40', 2 - 0, Mee A. ⚽,
- 41', 3 - 0, Johnston J. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 52', Marsh T. 🟥,
Preview
This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 11 and 19).Buxton is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).Bedford has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).Buxton may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.Recently, Buxton has had a series of away games. Buxton might have a minor edge in this game.We predict that Buxton will win today's game, with odds of 1.8.In the last 1 head-to-head match, Buxton won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:3.
Outrights of English National League North for now
Buxton: 4.71% Bedford: 2.08%
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 9 | Buxton | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 18:18 | 0 | 16 |
| 10 | Bedford | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 14:14 | 0 | 16 |
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Upcoming Matches
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;