Match Info

National League North - Round 29

Date: 27 January 2026, Tuesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Sandy Lane Stadium (Worksop) 🌤️ ...


	Worksop Town		Darlington

	1	X	2
	2.75	3.4	2.2
	2.72	3.55	2.25
	2.67	3.65	2.4
	2.66	3.7	2.36	Watch
	2.63	3.4	2.4
	2.59	3.44	2.31
	2.62	3.5	2.36
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.66 ↑ (2.31)	3.52 ↓ (3.65)	2.33 ↓ (2.69)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Worksop Town
34.5%

Draw
26.1%

Darlington
39.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

40.1%

25.4%

34.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.2%

24.8%

35.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Worksop Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Worksop Town's form might have worsened.

Darlington has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Worksop Town than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Darlington than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	25%	25%

Worksop Town - Darlington Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Worksop will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Darlington will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Worksop Town will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
4', 0 - 1, Main C. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
82', 1 - 1, Burrow J. ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 18 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ National League North (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Worksop is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Darlington is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Worksop won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:5.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
12	Worksop	14	6	2	6	20:20	0	20
22	Darlington	14	3	2	9	17:25	-8	11

Last Results with these Odds

Worksop Town - the odds 2.31 are the expected chance of winning is 40.13%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Worksop Town
English National League North
24.01.26	Worksop Town - Macclesfield Town	2:4 ✺
17.01.26	Kidderminster Harriers - Worksop Town	2:2 ✺
10.01.26	Worksop Town - Merthyr Town	3:5 ✺
03.01.26	Chester - Worksop Town	0:1 ✺
30.12.25	Buxton - Worksop Town	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.5 LTLWL
- Darlington FC
English National League North
24.01.26	Chorley - Darlington	1:2 ✺
17.01.26	Darlington - Alfreton Town	3:1 ✺
30.12.25	Darlington - South Shields	1:2 ✺
26.12.25	Scarborough Athletic - Darlington	0:1 ✺
20.12.25	Darlington - King`s Lynn Town	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.6 WWLWT

Latest Head to Head

English National League North
04.11.25	Darlington - Worksop Town	5:1

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