Match Info

National League North - Round 10

Date: 26 September 2026, Saturday

Location: RAW Charging Stadium (Oxford)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	DAZN
Bolivia	DAZN
Brazil	DAZN Brasil
Canada	DAZN Canada
Denmark	DAZN
Ecuador	DAZN
Finland	DAZN
France	DAZN France
Japan	DAZN Japan
New-zealand	DAZN New Zealand
Paraguay	DAZN
Portugal	DAZN / App
Spain	DAZN Espana
Sweden	DAZN
United-kingdom	DAZN
Uruguay	DAZN
Usa	DAZN USA
Venezuela	DAZN


	Oxford City		Morecambe

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.50	2.90
	2.10	3.30	2.90
	2.05	3.30	3.05
	2.17	3.59	3.13
	2.18	3.48	3.09	Watch
	2.12	3.55	3.05
	2.14	3.66	3.03
	2.14	3.40	2.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.12 ↑ (2.1)	3.47 ↓ (3.6)	3.01 ↑ (2.94)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Oxford City
43.2%

Draw
26.4%

Morecambe
30.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.5%

25.4%

31.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.8%

25.6%

30.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Oxford City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Morecambe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Oxford City than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Morecambe than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

Oxford City - Morecambe Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
55', 0 - 1, Garner J. ⚽,
90+4', 1 - 1, Potter A. ⚽,

Preview

This match features a clash between a top-table contender and a mid-table team (ranked 2nd in the Promotion ~ National League North PlayoffsSemi~finals) and 10th).

Oxford City has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Morecambe is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Oxford City holding a narrow advantage.

These two teams have no recorded direct encounters in recent history.

Outrights of English National League North for now

Morecambe: 6.07% Oxford City: 5.6%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Oxford City	10	6	2	2	18:7	11	20
11	Morecambe	10	4	2	4	14:9	5	14

Last Results with these Odds

Morecambe - the odds 2.94 are the expected chance of winning is 31.12%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Oxford City
English National League North
12.09.26	Radcliffe - Oxford City	0:3 ✺
08.09.26	AFC Telford United - Oxford City	1:0 ✺
05.09.26	Oxford City - Chorley	4:0 ✺
31.08.26	Worksop Town - Oxford City	0:1 ✺
28.08.26	Oxford City - Buxton	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 WLWWL
- Morecambe
English National League North
12.09.26	Morecambe - Brackley Town	3:0 ✺
08.09.26	Southport - Morecambe	2:1 ✺
05.09.26	Morecambe - Buxton	4:0 ✺
31.08.26	Chester - Morecambe	0:1 ✺
28.08.26	Morecambe - AFC Telford United	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15 WLWWW

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