Match Info

National League North - Round 9

Date: 12 September 2026, Saturday

Location: Sandy Lane Stadium (Worksop)


	Worksop Town		Southport

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.50	3.30
	1.93	3.30	3.30
	1.95	3.4	3.4
	1.99	3.63	3.47
	1.96	3.69	3.47	Watch
	1.9	3.55	3.4
	1.93	3.44	3.45
	1.93	3.35	3.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.93 ↓ (2.08)	3.48 ↓ (3.65)	3.39 ↑ (3.11)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Worksop Town
47.1%

Draw
26.1%

Southport
26.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.7%

25.5%

29.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.9%

25.4%

29.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Worksop Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

Southport has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Worksop Town than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Southport than the current prediction. (+3%)

Worksop Town - Southport Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 0)
48', 1 - 0, Viggars R. ⚽,
61', 2 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 17 and 19)

Worksop is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

In recent matches, Southport has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Worksop will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Worksop won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1. (average 1.5:0.5).

Including home match between the teams, Worksop won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Outrights of English National League North for now

Worksop: 0.91% Southport: 0.73%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
18	Worksop	10	4	0	6	10:16	-6	12
20	Southport	10	2	3	5	13:20	-7	9

Last Results with these Odds

Southport - the odds 3.11 are the expected chance of winning is 29.88%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Worksop Town
English National League North
08.09.26	Worksop Town - Bedford Town	1:2 ✺
05.09.26	Marine - Worksop Town	0:1 ✺
31.08.26	Worksop Town - Oxford City	0:1 ✺
29.08.26	Spalding United - Worksop Town	3:1 ✺
22.08.26	Worksop Town - Hereford	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LWLLL
- Southport
English National League North
08.09.26	Southport - Morecambe	2:1 ✺
05.09.26	Spalding United - Southport	2:0 ✺
31.08.26	Southport - Hereford	0:1 ✺
29.08.26	Scarborough Athletic - Southport	5:1 ✺
22.08.26	Southport - Bedford Town	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 WLLLW

Latest Head to Head

English National League North
20.12.25	Southport - Worksop Town	1:1
23.08.25	Worksop Town - Southport	2:0

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