Match Info

ENGLAND: NPL Premier Division - Round 18

Date: 17 December 2024, Tuesday

Location: Sandy Lane Stadium (Worksop)


	Worksop Town		Warrington Rylands

	1	X	2
	1.49	4.1	5
	1.51	4.1	5.2
	1.51	4.71	4.95
	1.54	4.52	5.16	Watch
	1.53	3.8	5
	1.53	3.98	5.15
	1.51	4.1	5.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.52 ↓ (1.67)	4.19 ↑ (3.79)	5.09 ↑ (4.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Worksop Town
60.2%

Draw
21.8%

Warrington Rylands
17.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.8%

24.1%

21.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.9%

23.2%

20.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Worksop Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Worksop Town's performance.

Warrington Rylands has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Worksop Town than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Warrington Rylands than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	0%	16.7%

Worksop Town - Warrington Rylands Predictions

Users Predictions: Worksop Town will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 7:6

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 3)
14', 1 - 0, Hughes L. (Pen),
20', 1 - 1, Hardcastle B. ⚽,
36', 1 - 2, Burton J. ⚽,
45+1', 1 - 3, Hardcastle B. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
81', 2 - 3, Martin A. ⚽,
90+7', 3 - 3, Shiels L. ⚽,

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ NPL Premier Division (Play Offs: ) and 19 in the zone Relegation).

The game of competitors is shaky now.

In this match Worksop is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Worksop won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3:3 (average 1.5:1.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Worksop won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Worksop Town
English NPL Premier Division
14.12.24	Worksop Town - Leek Town	2:0 ✺
07.12.24	Ilkeston - Worksop Town	3:0 ✺
30.11.24	Worksop Town - Stockton Town	2:1 ✺
23.11.24	Lancaster City - Worksop Town	0:0 ✺
English FA Trophy
16.11.24	Radcliffe - Worksop Town	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 WLWTL
- Warrington Rylands
English NPL Premier Division
14.12.24	Warrington Rylands - Workington	2:1 ✺
English FA Trophy
07.12.24	Chorley - Warrington Rylands	3:2 ✺
English NPL Premier Division
30.11.24	Guiseley - Warrington Rylands	2:2 ✺
23.11.24	Warrington Rylands - Ilkeston	0:1 ✺
English FA Trophy
16.11.24	Scunthorpe United - Warrington Rylands	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 28.4 WLTLW

Latest Head to Head

English NPL Premier Division
20.04.24	Worksop Town - Warrington Rylands	2:1
18.11.23	Warrington Rylands - Worksop Town	2:1

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