Match Info

National League South - Round 44

Date: 11 April 2026, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	DAZN
Bolivia	DAZN
Brazil	DAZN Brasil
Canada	DAZN Canada
Ecuador	DAZN
France	DAZN France
New-zealand	DAZN New Zealand
Paraguay	DAZN
Portugal	DAZN / App
Spain	DAZN Espana
Uruguay	DAZN
Venezuela	DAZN


	Worthing		Dagenham & Redbridge

	1	X	2
	1.25	5.7	8.6
	1.22	6.88	9.54
	1.29	5.88	7.9	Watch
	1.22	6	9.5
	1.25	6.06	9.92
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.25 ↓ (1.48)	6.1 ↑ (4.48)	9.09 ↑ (5.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Worthing
74.6%

Draw
15.2%

Dagenham & Redbridge
10.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.6%

20.7%

16.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.4%

19.8%

16%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Worthing has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Worthing's performance.

Dagenham & Redbridge has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Dagenham & Redbridge might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Worthing than the current prediction. (-9.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Worthing that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dagenham & Redbridge than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Dagenham & Redbridge could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Worthing - Dagenham & Redbridge Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
10', 0 - 1, Connolly K. ⚽,
25', 1 - 1, Spong J. ⚽,
27', 2 - 1, Makowski W. ⚽,
2nd Half (5 - 1)
48', 3 - 1, Makowski W. ⚽,
57', 3 - 2, Oteh A. ⚽,
62', 4 - 2, Jenks T. ⚽,
82', 5 - 2, Morton C. ⚽,
85', Leech S. 🟥,
90+5', 6 - 2, Cook J. ⚽,
90+8', 7 - 2, Dolaghan B. ⚽,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ National League and 12).

Worthing has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Dagenham is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Recently, Worthing has had a series of away games.

In this match, Worthing is the team to beat.

We predict that Worthing will win today's game, with odds of 1.43.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Worthing won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:3. (average 3.5:1.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Dag & Red	11	6	2	3	10:7	3	20

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Worthing FC
English National League South
06.04.26	Dorking Wanderers - Worthing	1:2 ✺
03.04.26	Worthing - Eastbourne Borough	2:1 ✺
28.03.26	Enfield Town - Worthing	1:1 ✺
24.03.26	Weston-super-Mare - Worthing	2:3 ✺
21.03.26	Totton - Worthing	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 WWTWW
- Dagenham & Redbridge
English National League South
06.04.26	Dagenham & Redbridge - Chelmsford City	3:3 ✺
03.04.26	Hornchurch - Dagenham & Redbridge	3:0 ✺
28.03.26	Dagenham & Redbridge - Hampton & Richmond Borough	3:1 ✺
21.03.26	Dagenham & Redbridge - Torquay United	1:0 ✺
17.03.26	Farnborough - Dagenham & Redbridge	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 TLWWW

Latest Head to Head

English National League South
06.09.25	Dagenham & Redbridge - Worthing	2:5
English FA Trophy
10.12.16	Dagenham & Redbridge - Worthing	1:2

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