Match Info

ENGLAND: FA Cup - 1/128-finals

Date: 2 November 2024, Saturday


	Worthing		Morecambe

	1	X	2
	3.4	3.7	2
	3.1	3.9	2.05
	3.2	4	2
	3.06	4.18	2.06
	3.13	3.98	2.02	Watch
	3.3	3.8	2.05
	3.16	3.84	2.1	Watch
	3.2	4	2
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.19 ↓ (4.72)	3.93 ↓ (4.04)	2.04 ↑ (1.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Worthing
29.6%

Draw
24.1%

Morecambe
46.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

19.9%

23.2%

56.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.9%

24.4%

59.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Worthing has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Worthing's performance.

Morecambe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Morecambe might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Worthing than the current prediction. (-10.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Worthing that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Morecambe than the current prediction. (+13.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Morecambe could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Worthing - Morecambe Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Worthing will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Morecambe will win (votes: 2 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Haigh Ch. (G) 5. Cook J. 16. Young A. 3. Beard S. 2. Colbran J. (C) 15. Rea G. 6. Wadham J. 11. Wheeler N. 8. Spong J. 10. Cashman D. 7. Willard T.	25. Moore S. (G) 2. Hendrie L. 14. Williams R. 6. Stott J. (C) 3. Lewis A. 18. Tollitt B. 4. White T. 8. Macadam H. 28. Jones C. 11. Slew J. 19. Dackers M.
Substitutes
14. Babalola T. 22. Bates J. 18. Black O. 12. Gregory A. 25. Jordan D. 21. Packham S. 17. Smith H. 20. Starkey O. 4. Wills K.	20. Brown C. 1. Burgoyne H. (G) 7. Edwards G. 12. Harrack K. 9. Hope H. 17. Lewis P. 22. Millen R. 24. Songo'o Y. 5. Taylor M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
7', 0 - 1, Slew J. ⚽,
31', Stott J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
50', Wadham J. 🟨,
61', Hendrie L. 🟨,
70', Slew J. ↓, Edwards G. ↑,
70', Macadam H. ↓, Lewis P. ↑,
70', Dackers M. ↓, Hope H. ↑,
74', Willard T. ↓, Babalola T. ↑,
81', White T. ↓, Harrack K. ↑,
82', Wadham J. ↓, Black O. ↑,
86', Rea G. ↓, Smith H. ↑,
88', 0 - 2, Williams R. ⚽, Jones C. (A),
90+1', Tollitt B. ↓, Millen R. ↑,

Preview

Worthing is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Morecambe is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Worthing could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Morecambe will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Worthing FC
English National League South
29.10.24	Bath City - Worthing	0:2 ✺
26.10.24	Worthing - Slough Town	4:3 ✺
22.10.24	Torquay United - Worthing	2:1 ✺
19.10.24	Worthing - Tonbridge Angels	3:2 ✺
English FA Cup
12.10.24	Plymouth Parkway - Worthing	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 WWLWW
- Morecambe
English League Two
26.10.24	Morecambe - Chesterfield	2:5 ✺
22.10.24	AFC Wimbledon - Morecambe	3:0 ✺
19.10.24	Morecambe - Milton Keynes Dons	1:3 ✺
12.10.24	Barrow - Morecambe	0:1 ✺
English EFL Trophy
08.10.24	Morecambe - Nottingham Forest U21	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.2 LLLWW

Upcoming Matches