Match Info

ENGLAND: NATIONAL LEAGUE - ROUND 38

Date: 11 March 2023, Saturday

Location: Racecourse Ground (Wrexham)


	Wrexham		Southend United

	1	X	2
	1.55	3.8	5.5
	1.53	3.7	5
	1.45	4	6.3
	1.53	4.29	6.06
	1.44	4.2	5.8
	1.53	4.05	5.75
	1.54	3.9	5.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.51 ↑ (1.47)	3.99 ↓ (4.3)	5.69 ↑ (5.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Wrexham
60.8%

Draw
23%

Southend United
16.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.2%

21.3%

16.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.3%

20.6%

16%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Wrexham has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Southend United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wrexham than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Southend United than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
88.9%	0%	11.1%

Wrexham - Southend United Predictions

Users Predictions: Wrexham will win (8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%).
Confidence interval (95%): 68.36% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two and 8).

Wrexham in the last match got a series victories and it is an a fantastic form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Southend is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Southend could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Wrexham is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Wrexham to win the game is with odds 1.5.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Wrexham won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Wrexham won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Wrexham AFC
English National League
07.03.23	Dagenham & Redbridge - Wrexham	0:4 ✺
04.03.23	Maidenhead United - Wrexham	2:2 ✺
28.02.23	Wrexham - Chesterfield	2:1 ✺
25.02.23	Wrexham - Dorking Wanderers	3:1 ✺
21.02.23	Wrexham - Scunthorpe United	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 WTWWW
- Southend United
English National League
07.03.23	Southend United - Chesterfield	1:2 ✺
03.03.23	Southend United - Barnet	0:1 ✺
25.02.23	Torquay United - Southend United	1:2 ✺
21.02.23	Notts County - Southend United	4:0 ✺
18.02.23	Southend United - Gateshead	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LLWLW

Latest Head to Head

English National League
17.09.22	Southend United - Wrexham	0:0
30.04.22	Wrexham - Southend United	1:0
04.09.21	Southend United - Wrexham	2:2

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