The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Wuhan 15.2%
Draw 23.4%
Henan Songshan Longmen 61.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
27.5%
25.5%
47%
Our Initial ML Estimation
26.6%
24.7%
48.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Wuhan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.3%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Wuhan's form might have worsened.
Henan Songshan Longmen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.4%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Henan Songshan Longmen's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wuhan than the current prediction. (+11.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Wuhan, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Henan Songshan Longmen than the current prediction. (-12.8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Henan Songshan Longmen, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
39.1%
17.4%
43.5%
Wuhan - Henan Songshan Longmen Predictions
Users Predictions:
23 users predict this event. Wuhan will win (votes: 9 - 39.1%). Henan Jianye will win (votes: 10 - 43.5%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 17.4%). Confidence interval (95%) for Henan Jianye: 23.2% – 63.8%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Preview
During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 12 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (Qualification)).
Wuhan has the most likely position - 6 (100%), has project points - 44, has currently - 44, has not chance of relegated, has not chance of qualify for acl.
Henan Songshan Longmen has the most likely position - 8 (100%), has project points - 41, has currently - 41, has not chance of relegated, has not chance of qualify for acl.
Last 5 head-to-head matches Wuhan won 0.
Wuhan is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Recent matches Henan Songshan Longmen is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Recently Henan Songshan Longmen have a series of home games.
Henan Songshan Longmen will have a poor advantage in this game.
Last 6 head-to-head matches Wuhan won 0 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-4.
Including matches at home between the teams Wuhan won 0 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-2.