Match Info

Date: 17 August 2022, Wednesday

Location: Wuhan Sports Center Stadium (Wuhan)


	Wuhan		Beijing Guoan

	1	X	2
	3.3	3.6	2.1	Watch
	3.2	3.5	2.05
	3.75	3.45	1.94
	3.15	3.5	2.08
	3.28	3.68	2.13
	3.1	3.3	2.1
	3.18	3.52	2.12
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.28 ↑ (3.19)	3.51 ↑ (3.4)	2.07 ↓ (2.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Wuhan
28.4%

Draw
26.6%

Beijing Guoan
45%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.2%

27.4%

43.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29%

27.6%

43.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Wuhan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Beijing Guoan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wuhan than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Beijing Guoan than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

Wuhan - Beijing Guoan Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Postponed due to Covid-19.

Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 12 and 10).

Wuhan has the most likely position - 6 (100%), has project points - 44, has currently - 44, has not chance of relegated, has not chance of qualify for acl.

Beijing Guoan has the most likely position - 2 (100%), has project points - 70, has currently - 70, has not chance of relegated, was already of qualify for acl, has not chance of win league.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Wuhan won 1.

Recent matches Wuhan is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Beijing Guoan is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recently Beijing Guoan have a series of guest games.

Beijing Guoan will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Wuhan won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 7-15.

Including matches at home between the teams Wuhan won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 2-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Wuhan FC
Chinese Super League
13.08.22	Guangzhou City - Wuhan	0:5 ✺
07.08.22	Meizhou Hakka - Wuhan	2:1 ✺
12.07.22	Wuhan - Shanghai Shenhua	2:2 ✺
08.07.22	Wuhan Three Towns - Wuhan	5:0 ✺
04.07.22	Wuhan - Guangzhou Evergrande	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 WLTLW
- Beijing Guoan
Chinese Super League
12.08.22	Wuhan Three Towns - Beijing Guoan	5:1 ✺
07.08.22	Henan Songshan Longmen - Beijing Guoan	3:0 ✺
11.07.22	Shenzhen - Beijing Guoan	2:1 ✺
07.07.22	Beijing Guoan - Meizhou Hakka	0:0 ✺
03.07.22	Tianjin Jinmen Tiger - Beijing Guoan	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 LLLTW

Latest Head to Head

Chinese Super League
03.08.21	Beijing Guoan - Wuhan	2:1
10.05.21	Wuhan - Beijing Guoan	0:2
Chinese FA Cup
02.12.20	Beijing Guoan - Wuhan	0:3
Chinese Super League
06.09.20	Wuhan - Beijing Guoan	2:2
01.08.20	Beijing Guoan - Wuhan	1:0
06.07.19	Beijing Guoan - Wuhan	3:0
01.03.19	Wuhan - Beijing Guoan	0:1

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