Match Info

Date: 12 July 2022, Tuesday

Location: Jinzhou Stadium (Dalian)


	Wuhan		Shanghai Shenhua

	1	X	2
	4.75	3.75	1.72
	4.6	3.5	1.71
	4.75	3.6	1.7
	4.7	3.6	1.69
	5.29	3.79	1.68
	4.6	3.4	1.7
	5.1	3.74	1.68
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.83 ↑ (3.78)	3.63 ↑ (3.47)	1.7 ↓ (1.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Wuhan
19.3%

Draw
25.7%

Shanghai Shenhua
55%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.5%

26.7%

48.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23%

25.1%

51.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Wuhan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Wuhan's form might have worsened.

Shanghai Shenhua has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Shanghai Shenhua's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wuhan than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shanghai Shenhua than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
8.6%	10.3%	81%

Wuhan - Shanghai Shenhua Predictions

Users Predictions: Shanghai Shenhua will win (47 of 58 users predict this - 81.03%).
Confidence interval (95%): 70.94% – 91.12%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Neutral location - Jinzhou Stadium.

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 11 and 4).

Wuhan has the most likely position - 6 (100%), has project points - 44, has currently - 44, has not chance of relegated, has not chance of qualify for acl.

Shanghai Shenhua has the most likely position - 13 (100%), has project points - 30, has currently - 30, has not chance of relegated, has not chance of qualify for acl.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Wuhan won 0.

Wuhan is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Shanghai Shenhua is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Shanghai Shenhua is a favorite.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Wuhan won 0 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 8-13.

Including matches at home between the teams Wuhan won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Wuhan FC
Chinese Super League
08.07.22	Wuhan Three Towns - Wuhan	5:0 ✺
04.07.22	Wuhan - Guangzhou Evergrande	2:1 ✺
30.06.22	Hebei CFFC - Wuhan	2:1 ✺
25.06.22	Wuhan - Shanghai Port	1:2 ✺
20.06.22	Shanghai Shenhua - Wuhan	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.6 LWLLL
- Shanghai Shenhua
Chinese Super League
07.07.22	Shanghai Shenhua - Hebei CFFC	1:0 ✺
03.07.22	Wuhan Three Towns - Shanghai Shenhua	4:2 ✺
29.06.22	Shanghai Port - Shanghai Shenhua	1:1 ✺
26.06.22	Shanghai Shenhua - Guangzhou Evergrande	2:1 ✺
20.06.22	Shanghai Shenhua - Wuhan	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 WLTWW

Latest Head to Head

Chinese Super League
20.06.22	Shanghai Shenhua - Wuhan	2:0
28.07.21	Shanghai Shenhua - Wuhan	0:0
29.04.21	Wuhan - Shanghai Shenhua	1:3
02.08.19	Shanghai Shenhua - Wuhan	2:2
21.04.19	Wuhan - Shanghai Shenhua	1:1
31.08.13	Shanghai Shenhua - Wuhan	2:1
04.05.13	Wuhan - Shanghai Shenhua	3:3

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