Match Info

Super League - Round 27

Date: 19 October 2025, Sunday

Location: Zhengzhou Hanghai Stadium (Zhengzhou)

Referee: Wei L. (Chn)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	Migu, QQ Sports


	Henan Songshan Longmen		Changchun Yatai

	1	X	2
	1.3	5.5	7	Watch
	1.34	5.5	6.5	Watch
	1.34	5.85	7.8
	1.36	5.12	7.13	Watch
	1.37	5.5	6.5	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.34 ↓ (1.58)	5.49 ↑ (4.29)	6.99 ↑ (5.07)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Henan Songshan Longmen
69.6%

Draw
17%

Changchun Yatai
13.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.5%

21.9%

18.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.5%

21.5%

18.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Henan Songshan Longmen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Henan Songshan Longmen's performance.

Changchun Yatai has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Changchun Yatai might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Henan Songshan Longmen than the current prediction. (-9.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Henan Songshan Longmen that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Changchun Yatai than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	20%	0%

Henan Songshan Longmen - Changchun Yatai Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.75 - Changchun Yatai (1.95) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -1.5 - Henan Jianye (1.87) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Henan Songshan Longmen will win (8 of 10 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 55.21% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Henan Jianye (votes: 1 - 50%). Changchun Yatai (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
18. Wang Guoming (G) 4. Shinar Yeljan 36. Iago Maidana 23. Lucas Maia 22. Huang Ruifeng 7. Zhong Yihao 6. Wang Shangyuan (C) 30. Liu Xinyu 40. Bruno Nazario 38. Lu Yongtao 11. Acheampong F.	1. An Z. (G) 2. Abdugheni Abduhamit 31. Sunzu S. 4. Rosic L. 5. Li Shenyuan 21. Piao Taoyu 25. Cyprien W. 20. Xuan Z. 35. Peng Xinli 29. Tan Long (C) 10. Omoijuanfo O.
Substitutes
13. Abudulam A. 20. He Chao 17. He X. 10. Huang Zichang 2. Liu Yixin 39. Li Xingxian 27. Niu Ziyi 33. Shi Chenglong (G) 16. Yang Kuo 19. Yang Yilin 8. Yin Hongbo 3. Yuande Z.	40. Asqer A. 17. He Yiran 36. Liu Guobao 27. Salazar J. 11. Tian Yuda 3. Wang Yaopeng 22. Wang Yu 24. Yan Zhiyu 6. Zhang Huachen 37. Zhao Yingjie 7. Zhou Junchen 42. Zou Dehai (G)
Coaches
Ramos D.	Soares R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 0)
54', 1 - 0, Bruno Nazario ⚽, Iago Maidana (A),
61', Peng Xinli ↓, Salazar J. ↑,
61', Piao Taoyu ↓, Wang Yu ↑,
67', Li Shenyuan ↓, Asqer A. ↑,
68', Sunzu S. ↓, He Yiran ↑,
69', Wang Yu 🟨,
70', 2 - 0, Lucas Maia ⚽, Acheampong F. (A),
74', Liu Xinyu ↓, He Chao ↑,
75', Zhong Yihao ↓, Yang Yilin ↑,
75', Rosic L. ↓, Zhang Huachen ↑,
87', Acheampong F. ↓, Huang Zichang ↑,
90+6', Bruno Nazario ↓, Abudulam A. ↑,
90+6', Lu Yongtao ↓, He X. ↑,

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 11 and 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Jia League).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Henan Jianye won 1.

Henan Jianye is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Changchun Yatai has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Henan Jianye is seen as the favorite.

There will not play in Henan Jianye: Felippe Cardoso (Yellow Cards)

There will not play in Changchun Yatai: Wang Zhifeng (Red Card) Wu Yake (Injury)

In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Henan Jianye won 3 matches, drew 9 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 15:21. (average 0.8:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Henan Jianye won 2 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:9. (average 1.2:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Henan Songshan Longmen
Chinese Super League
28.09.25	Tianjin Jinmen Tiger - Henan Songshan Longmen	1:0 ✺
19.09.25	Wuhan Three Towns - Henan Songshan Longmen	2:5 ✺
12.09.25	Henan Songshan Longmen - Beijing Guoan	2:0 ✺
29.08.25	Qingdao Hainiu - Henan Songshan Longmen	1:1 ✺
24.08.25	Henan Songshan Longmen - Dalian Young Boy	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 LWWTW
- Changchun Yatai
Chinese Super League
27.09.25	Changchun Yatai - Qingdao Hainiu	2:2 ✺
20.09.25	Changchun Yatai - Zhejiang Professional	3:3 ✺
12.09.25	Chengdu Rongcheng - Changchun Yatai	1:0 ✺
30.08.25	Yunnan Yukun - Changchun Yatai	1:1 ✺
24.08.25	Changchun Yatai - Shenzhen Peng City	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 TTLTW

Latest Head to Head

Chinese Super League
11.05.25	Changchun Yatai - Henan Songshan Longmen	0:1
27.10.24	Henan Songshan Longmen - Changchun Yatai	0:0
26.05.24	Changchun Yatai - Henan Songshan Longmen	0:0
29.10.23	Henan Songshan Longmen - Changchun Yatai	1:1
03.07.23	Changchun Yatai - Henan Songshan Longmen	3:1
11.07.22	Henan Songshan Longmen - Changchun Yatai	6:2
20.06.22	Changchun Yatai - Henan Songshan Longmen	0:0

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