The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Wuhan Three Towns 25%
Draw 21.4%
Shandong Taishan 53.6%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
36.1%
23.9%
40%
Our Initial ML Estimation
35.4%
23.4%
40.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Wuhan Three Towns has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Wuhan Three Towns's form might have worsened.
Shandong Taishan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Shandong Taishan's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wuhan Three Towns than the current prediction. (+10.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Wuhan Three Towns, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shandong Taishan than the current prediction. (-12.8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Shandong Taishan, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
BTTS - yes (1.34) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
New Consensus by Tipsters:
1X2 - Shandong Taishan (1.91) (votes: 89%) ⭐ Best Value.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
31. Guo Jiayu (G) 23. Ming Tian 2. He Guan (C) 11. Li Ang 4. Xu Haofeng 50. Leautey A. 18. Zhang Xiaobin 20. Adriano Firmino 10. Bevis K. 21. Xiong J. 9. Zheng Haoqian
14. Wang Dalei (C) 3. Peng Xiao 23. Alvaro P. 11. Liu Yang 28. Mijit Mewlan 38. Memet Imran 8. Guilherme Madruga 29. Chen Pu 7. Xie Wenneng 10. Qazaishvili V. 9. Cryzan
Substitutes
29. Cadiz J. 15. Chen Zhechao 22. Fang Jingqi (G) 7. Gustavo Sauer 5. Li Shenyuan 19. Liu Yiming 55. Li Z. (G) 6. Long Wei 28. Wang Denny 8. Wang Jinxian 13. Zheng Kaimu 30. Zhong Jinbao
37. Chen Zeshi 36. Liu Qiwei (G) 22. Li Y. 41. Lu J. 17. Merkies R. 15. Shi Songchen 32. Sun Qihang (G) 6. Wang Tong 2. Yang Ruiqi 34. Yin Jiaxi 1. Yu Jinyong (G) 5. Zheng Zheng
Coaches
Deng Zhuoxiang
Tang T.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 3)
8', 0 - 1, Memet Imran ⚽, Guilherme Madruga (A),
12', 1 - 1, He Guan ⚽, Leautey A. (A),
18', 1 - 2, Cryzan ⚽, Qazaishvili V. (A),
24', Zheng Haoqian 🟨,
27', 1 - 3, Cryzan (Penalty Awarded),
35', Xu Haofeng 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
46', Memet Imran ↓, Li Y. ↑,
46', Mijit Mewlan ↓, Merkies R. ↑,
46', Zheng Haoqian ↓, Cadiz J. ↑,
51', He Guan 🟨,
59', Xu Haofeng ↓, Li Shenyuan ↑,
66', Xie Wenneng ↓, Yang Ruiqi ↑,
66', Chen Pu ↓, Shi Songchen ↑,
67', 2 - 3, Cadiz J. (Penalty Awarded),
67', Zhang Xiaobin ↓, Long Wei ↑,
75', Shi Songchen 🟨,
75', 3 - 3, Cadiz J. ⚽, Leautey A. (A),
76', Li Shenyuan 🟨,
79', Peng Xiao ↓, Chen Zeshi ↑,
83', 3 - 4, Qazaishvili V. ⚽, Cryzan (A),
84', Xiong J. ↓, Wang Jinxian ↑,
90+3', 3 - 5, Qazaishvili V. ⚽, Liu Yang (A),
Preview
A high-stakes clash as a relegation-threatened team welcomes an elite contender (ranked 15th in the Relegation - League One and 4th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Wuhan Three Towns won 0.
Recent results have been tough for Wuhan Three Towns (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
Performances by Shandong Taishan have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Shandong Taishan is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.
Confirmed absences for Wuhan Three Towns: Yamkam M.
(Injury).
Confirmed absences for Shandong Taishan: Huang Zhengyu
(Yellow Cards)
Wang Tong
(Inactive)
Yang Ruiqi
(Inactive)
Zeca
(Inactive).
In the last 13 head-to-head meetings, Wuhan Three Towns has recorded 1 win, 5 draws, and 7 losses, with a goal aggregate of 15:27 (averaging 1.2:2.1 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Wuhan Three Towns against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 2 draws, and 4 losses, with 8:15 goals (averaging 1.1:2.1 per game).
China
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Guo Jiayu (G) 
Leautey A. 
Adriano Firmino 
Bevis K. 
Alvaro P. 
Qazaishvili V. 
Cadiz J. 
Merkies R. 
