The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Wuhan Three Towns 38.7%
Draw 26.9%
Shenzhen Peng City 34.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
44.7%
26.7%
28.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
47.5%
28.4%
26.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Wuhan Three Towns has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Wuhan Three Towns's form might have worsened.
Shenzhen Peng City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Shenzhen Peng City's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wuhan Three Towns than the current prediction. (+8.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Wuhan Three Towns, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shenzhen Peng City than the current prediction. (-7.5%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Shenzhen Peng City, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
45.5%
9.1%
45.5%
Wuhan Three Towns - Shenzhen Peng City Predictions
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Wuhan Three Towns will win (votes: 5 - 45.5%). Shenzhen Peng City will win (votes: 5 - 45.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 9.1%). Confidence interval (95%) for Wuhan Three Towns: 16.1% โ 74.9%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Shenzhen Peng City (votes: 2 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
22. Fang Jingqi (G) 23. Ming Tian 2. He Guan (C) 11. Li Ang 4. Xu Haofeng 8. Wang Jinxian 12. Liao Chengjian 21. Xiong J. 7. Gustavo Sauer 29. Cadiz J. 10. Bevis K.
13. Peng Peng (G) 23. Yang Yiming 3. Gabriel Xavier 46. Shen H. 4. Jiang Zhipeng 6. Yao Junsheng 19. Zhang Yufeng 31. Owusu-Sekyere D. 8. Chow T. 11. Ademi A. 7. Wesley Moraes (C)
Substitutes
15. Chen Zhechao 31. Guo Jiayu (G) 5. Li Shenyuan 33. Liu Binbin 55. Li Z. (G) 6. Long Wei 16. Min Zixi 37. Wang Kang 9. Zheng Haoqian 13. Zheng Kaimu 30. Zhong Jinbao
1. Ji J. (G) 14. Li Long 17. Li Ning 16. Tang Miao 2. Tian Yifan 56. Wang Yuheng 29. Xia Dalong 20. Xuan Z. 54. Yao J. 49. Zhang H. (G) 25. Zhao Jianfei
Coaches
Deng Zhuoxiang
Neilson R.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
13', Gabriel Xavier 🟥,
14', Ademi A. ↓, Zhao Jianfei ↑,
35', 1 - 0, Xiong J. ⚽, Cadiz J. (A),
45+1', Ming Tian 🟨,
45+4', 2 - 0, Wang Jinxian ⚽, Bevis K. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
58', Owusu-Sekyere D. ↓, Li Ning ↑,
58', Yang Yiming ↓, Tang Miao ↑,
72', Ming Tian ↓, Li Shenyuan ↑,
72', Xu Haofeng ↓, Chen Zhechao ↑,
72', Xiong J. ↓, Long Wei ↑,
74', Wesley Moraes ↓, Xia Dalong ↑,
74', Jiang Zhipeng ↓, Xuan Z. ↑,
77', Wang Jinxian ↓, Liu Binbin ↑,
90+3', Liao Chengjian ↓, Min Zixi ↑,
Preview
An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ League One and 10).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Wuhan Three Towns won 2.
Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
Wuhan Three Towns may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, Wuhan Three Towns has had a series of away games.
Wuhan Three Towns might have a minor edge in this game.
There will not play in Wuhan Three Towns: Chen Zhechao
(Injury)
Yamkam M.
(Injury)
There will not play in Shenzhen Peng City: Dai Wai-Tsun
(Injury)
There are questionable in Shenzhen Peng City: Benkovic F.
(Injury)
In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Wuhan Three Towns won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 17:13. (average 1.9:1.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Wuhan Three Towns won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 10:4. (average 2.5:1).
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Fang Jingqi (G) 
Gustavo Sauer 
Cadiz J. 
Bevis K. 
Owusu-Sekyere D. 
Chow T. 
Ademi A. 
Neilson R. 
