Match Info

ASIA: AFC CHAMPIONS LEAGUE - ROUND 6

Date: 6 December 2023, Wednesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	Paramount+
Bulgaria	Nova Sport
Portugal	Canal 11
Slovenia	SportKlub
Ukraine	Sport 2


	Wuhan Three Towns		Pohang Steelers

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.3	3.6	2.75	Watch
	2.3	3.6	2.8	Watch
	2.38	3.7	2.87
	2.37	3.69	2.84
	2.15	3.7	2.62
	2.28	3.72	2.82	Watch
	2.1	3.75	2.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.27 ↓ (3.11)	3.68 ↑ (3.66)	2.81 ↑ (2.14)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Wuhan Three Towns
41.2%

Draw
25.4%

Pohang Steelers
33.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.3%

25.7%

44%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.8%

25.3%

44.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Wuhan Three Towns has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Wuhan Three Towns's performance.

Pohang Steelers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Pohang Steelers might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wuhan Three Towns than the current prediction. (-11.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Wuhan Three Towns that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pohang Steelers than the current prediction. (+11.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Pohang Steelers could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
27.3%	36.4%	36.4%

Wuhan Three Towns - Pohang Steelers Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Wuhan Three Towns will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%). Pohang will win (votes: 4 - 36.4%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 36.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Pohang: 8% – 64.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Liu Dianzuo (G) 26. He Guan 18. Liu Yiming 5. Park Ji-Su 25. Han-Wen D. 8. Yan Dinghao 12. Zhang Xiaobin 15. Jiang Zhipeng 30. Xie Pengfei 11. Davidson (C) 9. Aziz	1. Yoon Pyeong-Gook (G) 14. Park Seung-Wook 45. Ha Chang-Rae (C) 34. Lee Gyu-Baeg 2. Sim Sang-Min 66. Kim Jun-Ho 16. Han Chan-Hee 7. Kim In-Sung 18. Kang Hyeon-Je 30. Yoon Jae-Woon 33. Lee Ho-Jae
Substitutes
17. Chen Yuhao 24. Duan Liuyu 31. Guo Jiayu (G) 23. Hang Ren 45. Huang Zhouxin (G) 2. Li Y. 32. Lu Haidong 14. Luo Jing 29. Tao Qianglong 28. Wang Denny 16. Yang Kuo 19. Zhang Wentao	22. Bak Keon-Woo 55. Choi Hyeon-Woong 26. Cho Jae-Hun 41. Cho Sung-Hoon (G) 37. Hong Y. 28. Kim J. 88. Kim Kyu-Pyo 29. Park Hyeong-Woo 17. Shin Kwang-Hoon 13. Shin Won-Chul
Coaches
Takahata T.	Kim Gi-Dong

Preview

Pohang is Qualified for AFC Champions League (Play Offs )

Recent matches Wuhan Three Towns is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Pohang is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Pohang could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Wuhan Three Towns won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Wuhan Three Towns FC
AFC Champions League
29.11.23	Urawa Red Diamonds - Wuhan Three Towns	2:1 ✺
08.11.23	Hà Nội FC - Wuhan Three Towns	2:1 ✺
Chinese Super League
04.11.23	Changchun Yatai - Wuhan Three Towns	3:4 ✺
29.10.23	Wuhan Three Towns - Shenzhen	1:0 ✺
AFC Champions League
24.10.23	Wuhan Three Towns - Hà Nội FC	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 LLWWW
- Pohang Steelers
South Korean K-League 1
03.12.23	Gwangju - Pohang Steelers	0:0 ✺
AFC Champions League
29.11.23	Pohang Steelers - Hà Nội FC	2:0 ✺
South Korean K-League 1
25.11.23	Pohang Steelers - Daegu	1:0 ✺
12.11.23	Ulsan HD - Pohang Steelers	3:2 ✺
AFC Champions League
08.11.23	Pohang Steelers - Urawa Red Diamonds	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 TWWLW

Latest Head to Head

AFC Champions League
04.10.23	Pohang Steelers - Wuhan Three Towns	3:1

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