Match Info

CHINA: FA Cup - 1/8-finals

Date: 17 July 2024, Wednesday

Location: Wuxi Sport Center (Wuxi)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	Migu


	Wuxi Wugou		Beijing Guoan

	1	X	2
				Watch
	19.5	10	1.07
	29	9.5	1.07
	29	10.5	1.09
	19.83	8.93	1.08	Watch
	23	9.5	1.04
	26	10.7	1.07	Watch
	16	7.6	1.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	23.19 ↑ (9.35)	9.53 ↑ (6)	1.07 ↓ (1.21)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Wuxi Wugou
4%

Draw
9.7%

Beijing Guoan
86.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

9.7%

15.2%

75.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Wuxi Wugou has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Wuxi Wugou's form might have worsened.

Beijing Guoan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Beijing Guoan's recent form is better than expected.

Wuxi Wugou - Beijing Guoan Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:3

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Zhang Jingyi (G) 17. Hu Shengjia 27. He Wei 4. Liang Jinhu 36. Zhao Shuhao 6. Tang Qirun 37. Chen Yi 15. Tursunjan Ahmat 40. Zhao Yubo 12. Song X. 30. Yuan Z.	1. Han Jiaqi (G) 3. He Yupeng 2. Traore M. 26. Bai Yang 4. Li Lei 21. Zhang Yuan 6. Chi Zhongguo (C) 37. Cao Yongjing 17. Yang Liyu 20. Wang Ziming 11. Lin Liangming
Substitutes
39. Fu Hao 34. Gui Hong 21. He Mingli 29. Jiang Zhixin 8. Zhang Yuanshu 38. Zhu Haiwei 13. Zhu Yueqi (G)	33. Abbas Nureli (G) 24. Adegbenro S. 18. Fang Hao 16. Feng B. 19. Muhmet N. 25. Tuluo Z. (G) 27. Wang Gang 23. Yennaris N. 22. Yu Dabao 28. Zhang Chengdong 9. Zhang Yuning

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
11', 0 - 1, Yang Liyu ⚽,
20', 🟨,
45+1', 1 - 1, Zhu Haiwei ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
86', 1 - 2, Abreu F. ⚽,
90', 1 - 3, Zhang Yuning ⚽,

Preview

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Beijing Guoan could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Beijing Guoan is absolute favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Wuxi Wugou
Chinese Jia League
14.07.24	Yanbian Longding - Wuxi Wugou	1:1 ✺
06.07.24	Shijiazhuang Gongfu - Wuxi Wugou	2:4 ✺
29.06.24	Wuxi Wugou - Jiangxi Lushan	2:2 ✺
Chinese FA Cup
21.06.24	Wuxi Wugou - Meizhou Hakka	1:0 ✺
Chinese Jia League
15.06.24	Chongqing Tongliang Long - Wuxi Wugou	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 34.3 TWTWL
- Beijing Guoan
Chinese Super League
12.07.24	Shanghai Port - Beijing Guoan	5:1 ✺
07.07.24	Beijing Guoan - Wuhan Three Towns	1:2 ✺
30.06.24	Beijing Guoan - Shandong Taishan	2:0 ✺
26.06.24	Beijing Guoan - Cangzhou Mighty Lions	4:0 ✺
Chinese FA Cup
22.06.24	Suzhou Dongwu - Beijing Guoan	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 LLWWW

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