Match Info

CHINA: Super League - Round 16

Date: 26 June 2024, Wednesday

Location: Workers' Stadium (Beijing)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	Migu, QQ Sports


	Beijing Guoan		Cangzhou Mighty Lions

	1	X	2
	1.27	6.25	8.5	Watch
	1.24	5.75	9.25
	1.25	6	9.5	Watch
	1.27	6.26	9.8
	1.25	6.24	9.7
	1.18	6.5	10
	1.24	6.68	11.1	Watch
	1.25	5.8	8.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.24 ↓ (1.26)	6.19 ↑ (5.78)	9.58 ↑ (9.04)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Beijing Guoan
75.1%

Draw
15.1%

Cangzhou Mighty Lions
9.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

73.6%

16.1%

10.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Beijing Guoan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

Cangzhou Mighty Lions has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	20%	13.3%

Beijing Guoan - Cangzhou Mighty Lions Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Beijing Guoan will win (votes: 10 - 71.4%). Cangzhou will win (votes: 2 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 14.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Beijing Guoan: 47.7% – 95.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Han Jiaqi (C) 27. Wang Gang 5. Ngadeu M. 2. Traore M. 4. Li Lei 8. Guga 23. Yennaris N. 10. Zhang Xizhe 24. Adegbenro S. 29. Abreu F. 11. Lin Liangming	28. Han Rongze (C) 7. Zheng Dalun 15. Wang Peng 6. Obileye A. 16. Zheng Kaimu 32. Sun M. 10. Taty Maritu O. 19. Zhukov G. 8. Zhao Yingjie 31. Solomon-Otabor V. 9. Heber
Substitutes
33. Abbas Nureli (G) 26. Bai Yang 37. Cao Yongjing 6. Chi Zhongguo 18. Fang Hao 16. Feng B. 3. He Yupeng 19. Muhmet N. 20. Wang Ziming 17. Yang Liyu 22. Yu Dabao 28. Zhang Chengdong	29. Han Feng (G) 23. Li Hong 20. Liu Xinyu 27. Ma Fuyu 1. Sun Jianxiang (G) 13. Sun Qinhan 11. Tudi Dilyimit 17. Wen Da 36. Yang Yun 18. Yao X. 12. Zhu Yue
Coaches
Soares R.	Zhao Junzhe

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
17', 1 - 0, Adegbenro S. ⚽, Ngadeu M. (A),
32', 2 - 0, Abreu F. ⚽, Adegbenro S. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
48', Li Lei 🟨,
64', Lin Liangming ↓, Fang Hao ↑,
64', Zhang Xizhe ↓, Yu Dabao ↑,
77', Adegbenro S. ↓, Yang Liyu ↑,
78', Abreu F. ↓, Wang Ziming ↑,
80', Obileye A. ↓, Yang Yun ↑,
80', Zhukov G. ↓, Yao X. ↑,
80', Zheng Dalun ↓, Zhu Yue ↑,
82', Taty Maritu O. ↓, Liu Xinyu ↑,
84', 3 - 0, Yang Liyu ⚽, Fang Hao (A),
88', Li Lei ↓, Feng B. ↑,
90+5', Zheng Kaimu 🟨,
90+6', 4 - 0, Wang Ziming (Pen),

Preview

Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 5 and 12).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Beijing Guoan won 3.

Recent matches Beijing Guoan is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Cangzhou has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Cangzhou could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Beijing Guoan have a series of guest games.

In this match Beijing Guoan is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Beijing Guoan won 5 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 27-12.

Including matches at home between the teams Beijing Guoan won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 14-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Beijing Guoan
Chinese FA Cup
22.06.24	Suzhou Dongwu - Beijing Guoan	0:4 ✺
Chinese Super League
15.06.24	Henan Songshan Longmen - Beijing Guoan	2:1 ✺
26.05.24	Beijing Guoan - Nantong Zhiyun	5:2 ✺
21.05.24	Qingdao Hainiu - Beijing Guoan	1:1 ✺
17.05.24	Changchun Yatai - Beijing Guoan	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 WLWTL
- Cangzhou Mighty Lions
Chinese FA Cup
23.06.24	Nanjing City - Cangzhou Mighty Lions	1:0 ✺
Chinese Super League
16.06.24	Cangzhou Mighty Lions - Qingdao Hainiu	0:1 ✺
26.05.24	Shanghai Port - Cangzhou Mighty Lions	4:1 ✺
21.05.24	Nantong Zhiyun - Cangzhou Mighty Lions	1:1 ✺
17.05.24	Cangzhou Mighty Lions - Tianjin Jinmen Tiger	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Chinese Super League
02.03.24	Cangzhou Mighty Lions - Beijing Guoan	0:2
26.08.23	Cangzhou Mighty Lions - Beijing Guoan	1:5
23.05.23	Beijing Guoan - Cangzhou Mighty Lions	6:2
25.06.22	Cangzhou Mighty Lions - Beijing Guoan	1:1
05.06.22	Beijing Guoan - Cangzhou Mighty Lions	1:2
28.09.20	Beijing Guoan - Cangzhou Mighty Lions	4:0
27.08.20	Cangzhou Mighty Lions - Beijing Guoan	2:2

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