Match Info

CHINA: JIA LEAGUE - ROUND 30

Date: 5 November 2023, Sunday


	Wuxi Wugou		Dandong Tengyue

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.71	3.6	3.9
	1.68	3.75	4.2	Watch
	1.75	3.8	4.47
	1.75	3.75	4.47
	1.62	3.8	4
	1.69	3.88	4.3
	2.03	3.45	3.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.75 ↓ (2.32)	3.72 ↑ (3.36)	4.07 ↑ (2.77)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Wuxi Wugou
52.7%

Draw
24.7%

Dandong Tengyue
22.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.6%

27.3%

33.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.9%

26.4%

32%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Wuxi Wugou has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Wuxi Wugou's performance.

Dandong Tengyue has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Dandong Tengyue might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wuxi Wugou than the current prediction. (-11.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Wuxi Wugou that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dandong Tengyue than the current prediction. (+9.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Dandong Tengyue could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Wuxi Wugou - Dandong Tengyue Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Zhu Yueqi (G) 33. Guo Song 44. Lin Jiahao 4. Liang Jinhu 29. Jiang Zhixin 24. Huang Yuxuan 18. Yue Zhilei 10. Tong Le 2. Zhang Yuanshu 12. Mladenovic B. 37. Gordic M.	12. Han Zhen (G) 4. Yao Diran 18. Li Xiaoting 25. Li Chenguang 11. Zimin Nuali 8. Gao Haisheng 28. Lu Yuefeng 27. Liao Haochuan 7. Zhang Liang 24. Sherzat N. 37. Brown T.
Substitutes
42. Cao Xiaoyi 17. Hu Shengjia 15. Li Boxi 28. Li Shizhou 19. Li Wenyong 3. Li Yi 16. Peng R. 36. Qi Long 1. Rong Shang (G) 38. Sun Enming 30. Sun Rui 23. Zhu Zhengyu	21. Dong Kaining 23. Dujardin R. 38. Hu M. 33. Liu Bin 40. Liu Zhizhi 43. Zhang Jialun 22. Zhang Yinuo (G)
Coaches
Li Y.	Wei S.

Preview

An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Yi League and 11).

Wuxi Wugou is Relegated to Yi League

Wuxi Wugou is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Dandong Tengyue is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Wuxi Wugou could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Dandong Tengyue have a series of home games.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Wuxi Wugou won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 7-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Wuxi Wugou won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Wuxi Wugou
Chinese Jia League
28.10.23	Jinan Xingzhou - Wuxi Wugou	1:2 ✺
22.10.23	Wuxi Wugou - Heilongjiang Ice City	2:1 ✺
18.10.23	Shenzhen Peng City - Wuxi Wugou	4:0 ✺
15.10.23	Wuxi Wugou - Liaoning Tieren	1:1 ✺
09.10.23	Guangzhou Evergrande - Wuxi Wugou	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 26.7 WWLTW
- Dandong Tengyue
Chinese Jia League
28.10.23	Dandong Tengyue - Shijiazhuang Gongfu	1:2 ✺
21.10.23	Dandong Tengyue - Jinan Xingzhou	1:1 ✺
18.10.23	Guangzhou Evergrande - Dandong Tengyue	0:1 ✺
14.10.23	Dandong Tengyue - Heilongjiang Ice City	2:1 ✺
10.10.23	Dandong Tengyue - Nanjing City	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.6 LTWWT

Latest Head to Head

Chinese Jia League
23.07.23	Dandong Tengyue - Wuxi Wugou	3:1
Chinese Yi League
26.10.22	Wuxi Wugou - Dandong Tengyue	0:1
09.08.22	Dandong Tengyue - Wuxi Wugou	0:0
15.07.22	Wuxi Wugou - Dandong Tengyue	2:1
29.11.21	Wuxi Wugou - Dandong Tengyue	4:0

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