Match Info

CHINA: JIA LEAGUE - ROUND 29

Date: 28 October 2023, Saturday


	Dandong Tengyue		Shijiazhuang Gongfu

	1	X	2
				Watch
	6.25	4.2	1.39
	6.5	4.5	1.38	Watch
	6.8	4.09	1.49
	6.81	4.59	1.39
	7.5	4.33	1.33
	7.4	4.5	1.38
	7	4.2	1.39
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.89 ↑ (4.9)	4.34 ↑ (3.47)	1.39 ↓ (1.71)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dandong Tengyue
13.3%

Draw
21.1%

Shijiazhuang Gongfu
65.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

19%

26.8%

54.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.8%

27.1%

54.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dandong Tengyue has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Dandong Tengyue's form might have worsened.

Shijiazhuang Gongfu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Shijiazhuang Gongfu's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dandong Tengyue than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Dandong Tengyue, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shijiazhuang Gongfu than the current prediction. (-10.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Shijiazhuang Gongfu, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Dandong Tengyue - Shijiazhuang Gongfu Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Han Zhen (G) 24. Sherzat N. 18. Li Xiaoting 27. Liao Haochuan 38. Hu M. 8. Gao Haisheng 11. Zimin Nuali 25. Li Chenguang 21. Dong Kaining 44. Abdukerim Qaharman 9. Kovacevic M.	17. Sui Weijie (G) 3. Song Haoyu 2. Zhang Chenliang 4. Pan Kui 32. Ding Haifeng 21. Bu Xin 25. You Wenjie 10. An Yifei 9. Nan Xiaoheng 20. Ogbu M. 33. Ayovi J.
Substitutes
37. Brown T. 23. Dujardin R. 33. Liu Bin 40. Liu Zhizhi 28. Lu Yuefeng 43. Zhang Jialun 7. Zhang Liang 22. Zhang Yinuo (G)	29. Fu Shang 13. He Wei 45. Huang Wei 8. Jia Xiaochen 26. Mei Jingxuan 12. Sun Le (G) 22. Venicio 37. Yang Pengju 15. Zhang Hao
Coaches
Wei S.	Zhou Li

Preview

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 11 and 3).

Two teams are playing changeable.

In this match Shijiazhuang Gongfu is certain favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Dandong Tengyue won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dandong Tengyue
Chinese Jia League
21.10.23	Dandong Tengyue - Jinan Xingzhou	1:1 ✺
18.10.23	Guangzhou Evergrande - Dandong Tengyue	0:1 ✺
14.10.23	Dandong Tengyue - Heilongjiang Ice City	2:1 ✺
10.10.23	Dandong Tengyue - Nanjing City	0:0 ✺
17.09.23	Suzhou Dongwu - Dandong Tengyue	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.6 TWWTL
- Shijiazhuang Gongfu
Chinese Jia League
22.10.23	Shijiazhuang Gongfu - Qingdao West Coast	1:1 ✺
18.10.23	Shijiazhuang Gongfu - Heilongjiang Ice City	1:0 ✺
15.10.23	Ningbo Professional - Shijiazhuang Gongfu	1:1 ✺
10.10.23	Shijiazhuang Gongfu - Jiangxi Lushan	1:1 ✺
16.09.23	Nanjing City - Shijiazhuang Gongfu	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 TWTTT

Latest Head to Head

Chinese Jia League
15.07.23	Shijiazhuang Gongfu - Dandong Tengyue	2:1

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