Match Info

CHINA: JIA LEAGUE - ROUND 27

Date: 18 October 2023, Wednesday


	Guangzhou Evergrande		Dandong Tengyue

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.53	4	4.75
	1.52	4.2	5	Watch
	1.68	3.89	4.87
	1.5	3.8	5.5
	1.51	4.25	5.45
	1.5	4	5.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.54 ↓ (2.21)	4.02 ↑ (3.28)	5.16 ↑ (3.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Guangzhou Evergrande
59.5%

Draw
22.8%

Dandong Tengyue
17.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.2%

28.4%

29.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.6%

27.5%

28.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Guangzhou Evergrande has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+17.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Guangzhou Evergrande's performance.

Dandong Tengyue has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Dandong Tengyue might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guangzhou Evergrande than the current prediction. (-15.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Guangzhou Evergrande that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dandong Tengyue than the current prediction. (+10.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Dandong Tengyue could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
84%	0%	16%

Guangzhou Evergrande - Dandong Tengyue Predictions

Users Predictions: 25 users predict this event. Guangzhou Evergrande will win (votes: 21 - 84%). Dandong Tengyue will win (votes: 4 - 16%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Guangzhou Evergrande: 69.6% – 98.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
32. Huo S. (G) 15. Xu Bin 2. Wang W. 18. Liao Jintao 5. Wang S. 30. Iskandar B. 34. Hou Yu (C) 36. Yang Dejiang 7. Qeyyum P. 29. Zhang D. 26. Wu J.	22. Zhang Yinuo (G) 11. Zimin Nuali 4. Yao Diran 33. Liu Bin 27. Liao Haochuan 7. Zhang Liang 24. Sherzat N. 37. Brown T. 25. Li Chenguang (C) 38. Hu M. 9. Kovacevic M.
Substitutes
11. Aniwar Abduwahap 37. Askhan (G) 4. Chen Q. 16. Fan H. 22. Li J. 28. Ling J. 17. Liu L. 41. Li Xingxian 31. Wang S. 27. Wei S. 14. Zhang Z. 3. Zhao W.	44. Abdukerim Qaharman 21. Dong Kaining 23. Dujardin R. 8. Gao Haisheng 12. Han Zhen (G) 17. Liao Wei 40. Liu Zhizhi 18. Li Xiaoting 5. Qiu Tianyi 43. Zhang Jialun
Coaches
Suay S.	Wei S.

Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 10 and 13).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Recently Dandong Tengyue have a series of home games.

In this match Guangzhou Evergrande is indisputable favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Guangzhou Evergrande won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Guangzhou Evergrande TH
Chinese Jia League
14.10.23	Jiangxi Lushan - Guangzhou Evergrande	2:3 ✺
09.10.23	Guangzhou Evergrande - Wuxi Wugou	1:2 ✺
16.09.23	Guangzhou Evergrande - Dongguan Guanlian	1:0 ✺
13.09.23	Jinan Xingzhou - Guangzhou Evergrande	2:1 ✺
09.09.23	Guangzhou Evergrande - Nanjing City	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 WLWLT
- Dandong Tengyue
Chinese Jia League
14.10.23	Dandong Tengyue - Heilongjiang Ice City	2:1 ✺
10.10.23	Dandong Tengyue - Nanjing City	0:0 ✺
17.09.23	Suzhou Dongwu - Dandong Tengyue	2:1 ✺
13.09.23	Dandong Tengyue - Qingdao West Coast	2:2 ✺
10.09.23	Dandong Tengyue - Jiangxi Lushan	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.6 WTLTT

Latest Head to Head

Chinese Jia League
01.07.23	Dandong Tengyue - Guangzhou Evergrande	1:4

Guangzhou Evergrande - Dandong Tengyue: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide