Match Info

League One - Round 27

Date: 17 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Wuxi Sport Center (Wuxi) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
China	19:00	Migu


	Wuxi Wugou		Dingnan United

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.37	3.25	2.50
	2.35	3.2	2.62	Watch
	2.44	3.51	2.78
	2.57	3.57	2.5	Watch
	2.4	3.45	2.65
	2.5	3.33	2.71
	2.38	3.3	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.43 ↑ (1.96)	3.37 ↑ (3.3)	2.63 ↓ (3.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Wuxi Wugou
37.8%

Draw
27.2%

Dingnan United
34.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

46.4%

27.6%

26%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.9%

26.2%

24.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Wuxi Wugou has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Wuxi Wugou's form might have worsened.

Dingnan United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Dingnan United's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wuxi Wugou than the current prediction. (+11.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Wuxi Wugou, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dingnan United than the current prediction. (-10.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Dingnan United, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Wuxi Wugou - Dingnan United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Zhu Yueqi (C) 5. Lin Jiahao 25. Wang Zihao 4. Isic T. 16. Zhou Pinxi 36. Tang Rui 23. Dong Kaining 6. Tursunjan Ahmat 37. Yi Xianlong 7. Albarracin N. 19. Noordanus N.	31. Xiao Yuanming (G) 3. Zhu Mingxin 17. Chen Po-Liang 4. Daciel 45. Yang B. 6. Zhu Jiaxuan 8. Zhang Zimin 16. Li Zhi 10. Tang Shi (C) 11. Erikys 7. Palacios M.
Substitutes
38. Chen Guokang 14. Hao Kesen (G) 27. He Wei 30. Li Boxi 2. Liu Boyang 17. Sun Z. 9. Wang Yifan 3. Xie Xiaofan 20. Zhang Yonglong 31. Zhou Yunyi 28. Zhou Zhixuan	28. Cheng Yetong 1. Du Jia (G) 23. Du Junpeng 18. Fan Bojian 22. Gao S. 19. Han Yuchen 34. Hao Yucheng 21. Hu Jiajin 9. Ma Chenghao 37. Petrov M. 24. Yang Chen (G) 33. Yan Jiahao
Coaches
Dias B.	Mao Biao

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
43', Zhu Jiaxuan 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Zhang Zimin ↓, Hao Yucheng ↑,
46', Li Zhi ↓, Hu Jiajin ↑,
46', Tang Rui ↓, Wang Yifan ↑,
56', Dong Kaining ↓, Zhou Yunyi ↑,
62', Wang Zihao 🟨,
63', Tang Shi ↓, Ma Chenghao ↑,
64', Lin Jiahao 🟨,
65', 0 - 1, Erikys ⚽,
72', 0 - 2, Palacios M. ⚽, Erikys (A),
75', Lin Jiahao ↓, Liu Boyang ↑,
77', Hu Jiajin 🟨,
80', Erikys ↓, Petrov M. ↑,
87', Albarracin N. ↓, Li Boxi ↑,
88', Tursunjan Ahmat ↓, Chen Guokang ↑,
90+2', Zhu Mingxin ↓, Yan Jiahao ↑,

Preview

A clear contrast in standings as an upper-tier team meets a relegation-threatened side (ranked 6th and 13th).

Wuxi Wugou is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Dingnan United has struggled for form in recent encounters (last 5 matches: 0 wins).

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Wuxi Wugou holding a narrow advantage.

In the last 1 head-to-head meeting, Wuxi Wugou has recorded 0 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 3:3.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Wuxi Wugou	28	11	6	11	43:33	10	39
14	Dingnan Ganlian	28	5	12	11	39:51	-12	27

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Wuxi Wugou
Chinese Jia League
10.10.26	Meizhou Hakka - Wuxi Wugou	0:3 ✺
06.10.26	Wuxi Wugou - Suzhou Dongwu	2:2 ✺
29.09.26	Wuxi Wugou - Ningbo Professional	1:0 ✺
25.09.26	Wuxi Wugou - Guangxi Hengchen	0:1 ✺
19.09.26	Nanjing City - Wuxi Wugou	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 WTWLW
- Jiangxi Dingnan United
Chinese Jia League
11.10.26	Guangdong GZ-Power - Dingnan United	3:1 ✺
06.10.26	Dingnan United - Meizhou Hakka	0:0 ✺
19.09.26	Dingnan United - Foshan Nanshi	1:1 ✺
12.09.26	Changchun Yatai - Dingnan United	1:0 ✺
05.09.26	Shaanxi Union - Dingnan United	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LTTLL

Latest Head to Head

Chinese Jia League
28.06.26	Dingnan United - Wuxi Wugou	3:3

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