Match Info

League One - Round 25

Date: 6 October 2026, Tuesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Dingnan Football Youth Training Center (Dingnan) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
China	19:30	Migu


	Dingnan United		Meizhou Hakka

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.80	3.50	3.60
	1.71	3.70	4.20	Watch
	1.90	3.64	3.88
	1.97	3.6	3.53	Watch
	1.85	3.60	3.80
	1.86	3.63	3.88	Watch
	1.89	3.50	3.50
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.85 ↑ (1.66)	3.6 ↓ (3.85)	3.77 ↓ (4.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dingnan United
49.8%

Draw
25.7%

Meizhou Hakka
24.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

54.8%

23.6%

21.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.6%

23.3%

21.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dingnan United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

Meizhou Hakka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dingnan United than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Dingnan United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Meizhou Hakka than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Dingnan United - Meizhou Hakka Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Dingnan United will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Meizhou Hakka will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (1.62) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Xiao Yuanming (G) 3. Zhu Mingxin 16. Li Zhi 4. Daciel 21. Hu Jiajin 17. Chen Po-Liang 6. Zhu Jiaxuan 7. Palacios M. 2. Zhang Yujie 11. Erikys (C) 8. Zhang Zimin	12. Sun Jianxiang (G) 22. Liao J. 29. Sun Xiaobin 5. Pellenard T. 20. Wen Z. 13. Lai J. 24. Sakhi H. 33. Zhu Baojie 32. Wen Q. 16. Yang Chaosheng (C) 10. Triboulet V.
Substitutes
28. Cheng Yetong 1. Du Jia (G) 23. Du Junpeng 18. Fan Bojian 22. Gao S. 19. Han Yuchen 34. Hao Yucheng 37. Petrov M. 10. Tang Shi 27. Wang Sihan 45. Yang B. 33. Yan Jiahao	3. Liang Jiahao 28. Li Weijia 15. Luo H. 45. Su Jiale 30. Wang H. (G) 6. Wang Haoran 1. Wang Zehao (G) 17. Yang Yihu 35. Yang Yunbo 27. Zhang Enqi 34. Zhang J.
Coaches
Mao Biao	Zhu Jiong

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
36', Zhu Baojie 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Hu Jiajin ↓, Tang Shi ↑,
46', Zhang Yujie ↓, Hao Yucheng ↑,
55', Lai J. ↓, Zhang Enqi ↑,
71', Wen Q. ↓, Luo H. ↑,
73', Zhang Zimin ↓, Gao S. ↑,
73', Li Zhi ↓, Yang B. ↑,
89', Palacios M. ↓, Petrov M. ↑,
90+1', Tang Shi 🟨,

Preview

A high-tension relegation six-pointer between two sides desperate to escape the danger zone (ranked 13th and 15th in the Relegation - League Two).

Dingnan United has struggled for results with multiple recent losses (last 5 matches: 0 wins).

Meizhou Hakka has struggled for form in recent encounters (last 5 matches: 1 win).

In this matchup, Dingnan United is considered the favorite to take the win.

In the last 1 head-to-head meeting, Dingnan United has recorded 0 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 2:2.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
14	Dingnan Ganlian	28	5	12	11	39:51	-12	27
15	Meizhou Hakka	28	7	4	17	26:58	-32	22

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jiangxi Dingnan United
Chinese Jia League
19.09.26	Dingnan United - Foshan Nanshi	1:1 ✺
12.09.26	Changchun Yatai - Dingnan United	1:0 ✺
05.09.26	Shaanxi Union - Dingnan United	2:1 ✺
29.08.26	Dingnan United - Suzhou Dongwu	3:4 ✺
22.08.26	Dingnan United - Shijiazhuang Gongfu	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 TLLLL
- Meizhou Hakka
Chinese Jia League
19.09.26	Meizhou Hakka - Shijiazhuang Gongfu	1:3 ✺
13.09.26	Meizhou Hakka - Nanjing City	2:1 ✺
06.09.26	Shenzhen Juniors - Meizhou Hakka	5:1 ✺
30.08.26	Ningbo Professional - Meizhou Hakka	1:1 ✺
22.08.26	Meizhou Hakka - Guangdong GZ-Power	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 LWLTL

Latest Head to Head

Chinese Jia League
30.05.26	Meizhou Hakka - Dingnan United	2:2

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