Match Info

CHINA: Jia League - Round 21

Date: 1 September 2024, Sunday

Location: Wuxi Sport Center (Wuxi)


	Wuxi Wugou		Yunnan Yukun

	1	X	2
				Watch
	7.25	4.5	1.34
	7.5	4.5	1.35	Watch
	6.04	4.01	1.5
	8	4.5	1.35	Watch
	8.5	4.5	1.3
	7.95	4.55	1.33	Watch
	7.5	4.5	1.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	7.53 ↑ (7.03)	4.44 ↑ (4.25)	1.36 ↓ (1.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Wuxi Wugou
12.1%

Draw
20.6%

Yunnan Yukun
67.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

13.2%

21.8%

65%

Our Initial ML Estimation

12.8%

21.1%

67.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Wuxi Wugou has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Yunnan Yukun has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wuxi Wugou than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yunnan Yukun than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

Wuxi Wugou - Yunnan Yukun Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Sun Jianxiang (G) 12. Song X. 28. Yu Wai-Lim 23. Yang Wenji 4. Liang Jinhu 36. Zhao Shuhao 45. Zhao Z. 8. Zhang Yuanshu 18. Yue Zhilei 7. Guo Song 20. Nouble J.	1. Yao Haoyang (G) 22. Mawlanniyaz D. 5. Jiang Jihong 18. Yi Teng 33. Cao Haiqing 6. Zhao Yuhao 10. Ionita II A. 36. Zang Yifeng 9. Labyad Z. 27. Han Zilong 30. Mushekwi N.
Substitutes
39. Fu Hao 34. Gui Hong 21. He Mingli 27. He Wei 17. Hu Shengjia 19. Li Boxi 11. Mandic S. 6. Tang Qirun 10. Tong Le 15. Tursunjan Ahmat 30. Yuan Z. 22. Zhang Jingyi (G)	26. Cui Ming'an 21. Li B. 2. Li Peng 3. Liu Yi 17. Liu Yi 14. Liu Yuhao 7. Luo Jing 13. Qiu Shengjun (G) 15. Shi Zhe 24. Yu Jianxian (G) 12. Zhao Jianan 8. Zhong H.
Coaches
Zhang H.	Andersen J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
30', 0 - 1, Han Zilong ⚽, Mushekwi N. (A),
35', 0 - 2, Mushekwi N. ⚽, Mawlanniyaz D. (A),
44', Yu Wai-Lim 🟨,
45+3', Jiang Jihong 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Nouble J. ↓, Mandic S. ↑,
46', Zhao Shuhao ↓, He Mingli ↑,
46', Zhao Z. ↓, He Mingli ↑,
46', Song X. ↓, Tang Qirun ↑,
58', Yue Zhilei ↓, Tong Le ↑,
64', 0 - 3, Mushekwi N. ⚽, Han Zilong (A),
66', Han Zilong ↓, Li B. ↑,
66', Zang Yifeng ↓, Luo Jing ↑,
73', Guo Song ↓, Gui Hong ↑,
78', Mushekwi N. ↓, Liu Yuhao ↑,
78', Jiang Jihong ↓, Liu Yi ↑,
82', 0 - 4, Luo Jing ⚽, Ionita II A. (A),

Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation ~ Yi League and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Super League).

Recent matches Wuxi Wugou is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Yunnan Yukun is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Yunnan Yukun is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Wuxi Wugou won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Wuxi Wugou
Chinese Jia League
24.08.24	Qingdao Red Lions - Wuxi Wugou	1:2 ✺
17.08.24	Wuxi Wugou - Guangxi Pingguo Haliao	0:0 ✺
21.07.24	Suzhou Dongwu - Wuxi Wugou	2:0 ✺
Chinese FA Cup
17.07.24	Wuxi Wugou - Beijing Guoan	1:3 ✺
Chinese Jia League
14.07.24	Yanbian Longding - Wuxi Wugou	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.1 WTLLT
- Yunnan Yukun
Chinese Jia League
24.08.24	Yunnan Yukun - Jiangxi Lushan	3:0 ✺
17.08.24	Yunnan Yukun - Guangzhou Evergrande	1:1 ✺
20.07.24	Heilongjiang Ice City - Yunnan Yukun	0:0 ✺
13.07.24	Nanjing City - Yunnan Yukun	0:2 ✺
06.07.24	Yunnan Yukun - Foshan Nanshi	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 WTTWW

Latest Head to Head

Chinese Jia League
13.04.24	Yunnan Yukun - Wuxi Wugou	2:0

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