Match Info

ENGLAND: LEAGUE ONE - ROUND 34

Date: 17 February 2024, Saturday

Location: Adams Park (High Wycombe)

Referee: Mather S. (Eng)


	Wycombe Wanderers		Oxford United

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.3	3.8
	2.15	3.3	3.25
	2.1	3.4	3.5
	2.2	3.3	3.4
	2.13	3.31	3.8
	2.05	3.4	3.3
	2.07	3.52	3.53	Watch
	2.04	3.3	3.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.1 ↓ (2.52)	3.35 ↓ (3.43)	3.5 ↑ (2.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Wycombe Wanderers
44.9%

Draw
28.1%

Oxford United
27%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.4%

27.5%

35%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.2%

27.6%

35.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Wycombe Wanderers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Wycombe Wanderers's performance.

Oxford United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Oxford United might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wycombe Wanderers than the current prediction. (-7.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Wycombe Wanderers that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Oxford United than the current prediction. (+8.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Oxford United could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
58.3%	25%	16.7%

Wycombe Wanderers - Oxford United Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Wycombe will win (votes: 7 - 58.3%). Oxford will win (votes: 2 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Wycombe: 30.4% – 86.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Stryjek M. (G) 2. Grimmer J. 17. Low J. 6. Tafazolli R. 44. Vincent-Young K. 4. Scowen J. (C) 19. Potts F. 20. Taylor D. 12. McCleary G. 23. Sadlier K. 30. Lubala B.	1. Cumming J. (G) 2. Long S. 23. Murphy J. 3. Brown C. 22. Leigh G. 28. Negru S. 8. Brannagan C. 20. Rodrigues R. 36. Matete J. 19. Goodrham T. 9. Harris M.
Substitutes
8. Butcher M. 11. Campbell C. 24. Kone R. 10. Leahy L. 22. Lonwijk N. 25. Ravizzoli F. (G) 7. Wheeler D.	12. Bennett J. 10. Bodin B. 30. Dale O. 13. Eastwood S. (G) 25. Goodwin W. 6. McEachran J. 4. Thorniley J.
Coaches
Bloomfield M.	Buckingham D.

Preview

Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 15 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Wycombe won 3.

Wycombe is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Oxford is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Wycombe will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 18 head-to-head matches Wycombe won 7 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 20-23.

Including matches at home between the teams Wycombe won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 9-11.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Wycombe Wanderers
English League One
13.02.24	Bolton Wanderers - Wycombe Wanderers	2:1 ✺
10.02.24	Wycombe Wanderers - Peterborough United	5:2 ✺
03.02.24	Cheltenham Town - Wycombe Wanderers	1:3 ✺
English EFL Trophy
31.01.24	Wycombe Wanderers - Brighton & Hove Albion U21	4:1 ✺
English League One
27.01.24	Wycombe Wanderers - Fleetwood Town	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 LWWWT
- Oxford United
English League One
13.02.24	Oxford United - Wigan Athletic	4:2 ✺
10.02.24	Blackpool - Oxford United	1:1 ✺
03.02.24	Oxford United - Reading	1:1 ✺
30.01.24	Oxford United - Portsmouth	2:2 ✺
27.01.24	Bristol Rovers - Oxford United	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 WTTTL

Latest Head to Head

English League One
28.10.23	Oxford United - Wycombe Wanderers	2:2
24.01.23	Wycombe Wanderers - Oxford United	2:0
08.10.22	Oxford United - Wycombe Wanderers	0:1
15.01.22	Wycombe Wanderers - Oxford United	2:0
11.09.21	Oxford United - Wycombe Wanderers	0:0
13.07.20	Oxford United - Wycombe Wanderers	1:2
21.12.19	Oxford United - Wycombe Wanderers	1:0

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