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Current Win Probability
Oxford United 35.3%
Draw 29.5%
Portsmouth 35.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
37.5%
28.3%
34.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
40.7%
30.7%
31.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Oxford United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)
Portsmouth has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Oxford United than the current prediction. (+5.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Oxford United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Portsmouth than the current prediction. (-3.6%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
26.3%
57.9%
15.8%
Oxford United - Portsmouth Predictions
Users Predictions:
18 users predict this event. Oxford will win (votes: 5 - 27.8%). Portsmouth will win (votes: 3 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 10 - 55.6%). Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 32.6% – 78.6%.
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH 0 - Oxford (1.87) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
O/U 2.25 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 10 Selected Experts predict this event. Oxford (votes: 2 - 20%). Portsmouth (votes: 2 - 20%). Tie (votes: 6 - 60%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Cumming J. (G) 15. Spencer B. 5. Moore E. (C) 6. Helik M. 22. Leigh G. 8. Brannagan C. 4. Vaulks W. 17. Mills S. 27. Lankshear W. 19. Goodrham T. 9. Harris M.
1. Schmid N. (G) 2. Williams J. 6. Shaughnessy C. 5. Poole R. 3. Ogilvie C. 8. Swift J. 21. Dozzell A. 10. Segecic A. 49. Lang C. 11. Bianchini F. 9. Bishop C. (C)
Substitutes
20. Bradshaw T. 26. Currie J. 23. Dembele S. 21. Ingram M. (G) 2. Long S. 39. O'Donkor G. 10. Phillips M. 18. Sibley L. 24. ter Avest H.
17. Bowat I. 24. Devlin T. 30. Killip B. (G) 18. Kosznovszky M. 16. Le Roux L. 14. Matthews H. 22. Swanson Z. 20. Waddingham T. 47. Yang Min-Hyuk
Coaches
Rowett G.
Mousinho J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
38', 0 - 1, Segecic A. ⚽,
41', Swift J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
63', Ogilvie C. 🟨,
64', Goodrham T. 🟨,
66', Moore E. ↓, ter Avest H. ↑,
68', Bianchini F. ↓, Yang Min-Hyuk ↑,
69', Leigh G. ↓, Currie J. ↑,
69', Harris M. ↓, Dembele S. ↑,
80', Lang C. ↓, Devlin T. ↑,
81', Lankshear W. ↓, Bradshaw T. ↑,
81', Vaulks W. ↓, Sibley L. ↑,
86', Swift J. ↓, Swanson Z. ↑,
88', Goodrham T. ↓, O'Donkor G. ↑,
90+3', Segecic A. ↓, Waddingham T. ↑,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Oxford won 0.
In recent matches, Oxford has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Portsmouth is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Recently, Oxford has had a series of home games.
Recently, Portsmouth has had a series of away games.
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
There will not play in Oxford: Brown C.
(Injury)
Negru S.
(Inactive)
ter Haar Romeny O.
(Foot Injury)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Oxford won 5 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 26:31. (average 1.3:1.6).
Including home matches between the teams, Oxford won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 16:14. (average 1.6:1.4).
Last Results with these Odds
Oxford United - the odds 2.54 are the expected chance of winning is 37.54%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.
United-kingdom
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Cumming J. (G) 
Spencer B. 
Helik M. 
Leigh G. 
Vaulks W. 
Goodrham T. 
Schmid N. (G) 
Segecic A. 
Bianchini F. 
Dembele S. 
ter Avest H. 
Kosznovszky M. 
Le Roux L. 
Yang Min-Hyuk 
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