Match Info

ENGLAND: LEAGUE ONE - ROUND 33

Date: 13 February 2024, Tuesday

Location: Kassam Stadium (Oxford)

Referee: Simpson J. (Eng)


	Oxford United		Wigan Athletic

	1	X	2
	1.91	3.5	4
	1.9	3.3	4
	1.95	3.4	4	Watch
	2	3.25	3.85
	1.97	3.43	4.26
	1.85	3.5	3.8
	1.94	3.52	3.96	Watch
	1.87	3.4	3.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.92 ↑ (1.91)	3.41 ↓ (3.64)	3.96 ↑ (3.76)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Oxford United
48.8%

Draw
27.5%

Wigan Athletic
23.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.2%

25.8%

25%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51%

26.8%

24.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Oxford United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Wigan Athletic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Oxford United than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wigan Athletic than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	20%	13.3%

Oxford United - Wigan Athletic Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Oxford will win (votes: 10 - 66.7%). Wigan will win (votes: 2 - 13.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Oxford: 42.8% – 90.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Cumming J. (G) 2. Long S. 5. Moore E. (C) 3. Brown C. 22. Leigh G. 18. McGuane M. 36. Matete J. 30. Dale O. 8. Brannagan C. 23. Murphy J. 9. Harris M.	1. Tickle S. (G) 6. Hughes C. (C) 29. Goode C. 24. Chambers L. 7. Clare S. 26. Adeeko B. 8. Smith M. 14. Jones J. 17. Godo M. 23. Kelman C. 10. Aasgaard T.
Substitutes
12. Bennett J. 10. Bodin B. 16. Burey T. 13. Eastwood S. (G) 19. Goodrham T. 20. Rodrigues R. 4. Thorniley J.	12. Amos B. (G) 15. Kerr J. 28. Magennis J. 20. McManaman C. 18. Smith J. 21. Smith S. 22. Sze C.
Coaches
Buckingham D.	Maloney S.

Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 7 and 14).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Oxford won 2.

Oxford is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Wigan is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Oxford could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Wigan have a series of home games.

In this match Oxford is a favorite.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Oxford won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 7-16.

Including matches at home between the teams Oxford won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4-11.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Oxford United
English League One
10.02.24	Blackpool - Oxford United	1:1 ✺
03.02.24	Oxford United - Reading	1:1 ✺
30.01.24	Oxford United - Portsmouth	2:2 ✺
27.01.24	Bristol Rovers - Oxford United	3:1 ✺
23.01.24	Oxford United - Barnsley	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 TTTLL
- Wigan Athletic
English League One
10.02.24	Wigan Athletic - Exeter City	1:2 ✺
03.02.24	Peterborough United - Wigan Athletic	2:3 ✺
27.01.24	Wigan Athletic - Stevenage Borough	2:3 ✺
23.01.24	Wigan Athletic - Wycombe Wanderers	1:0 ✺
20.01.24	Wigan Athletic - Reading	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.3 LWLWW

Latest Head to Head

English League One
24.10.23	Wigan Athletic - Oxford United	2:0
01.02.22	Wigan Athletic - Oxford United	1:1
18.12.21	Oxford United - Wigan Athletic	2:3
14.02.21	Oxford United - Wigan Athletic	2:1
21.11.20	Wigan Athletic - Oxford United	1:2
17.04.18	Wigan Athletic - Oxford United	1:0
23.12.17	Oxford United - Wigan Athletic	0:7

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