Match Info

ENGLAND: LEAGUE ONE - ROUND 30

Date: 27 January 2024, Saturday

Location: Memorial Stadium (Bristol)

Referee: Speedie B. (Eng)


	Bristol Rovers		Oxford United

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.6	3
	2.25	3.6	2.9
	2.25	3.5	3
	2.2	3.6	2.92
	2.25	3.68	3.15
	2.25	3.5	2.8
	2.25	3.68	2.98	Watch
	2.13	3.55	2.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.22 ↓ (2.58)	3.59 ↑ (3.43)	2.96 ↑ (2.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bristol Rovers
42.2%

Draw
26.1%

Oxford United
31.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.3%

27.3%

36.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.9%

26.9%

35.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bristol Rovers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Bristol Rovers's performance.

Oxford United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bristol Rovers than the current prediction. (-5.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Bristol Rovers that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Oxford United than the current prediction. (+4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
61.5%	7.7%	30.8%

Bristol Rovers - Oxford United Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Bristol Rovers will win (votes: 8 - 61.5%). Oxford will win (votes: 4 - 30.8%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 7.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bristol Rovers: 35% – 88%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Ward J. (G) 22. Conteh K. 25. Crama T. 21. Evans A. 6. Finley S. (C) 32. Friend G. 42. Hunt J. 18. Martin C. 11. Thomas L. 19. Vale H. 5. Wilson J.	1. Cumming J. (G) 8. Brannagan C. 3. Brown C. 19. Goodrham T. 9. Harris M. (C) 22. Leigh G. 6. McEachran J. 5. Moore E. 28. Negru S. 20. Rodrigues R. 15. Stevens F.
Substitutes
20. Brown J. 2. Connolly J. 33. Cox M. (G) 3. Gordon L. 30. Hoole L. 9. Marquis J. 23. McCormick L.	16. Burey T. 13. Eastwood S. (G) 17. Henry J. 18. McGuane M. 39. O'Donkor G. 14. Smyth O. 4. Thorniley J.
Coaches
Taylor M.	Buckingham D.

Preview

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 13 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Bristol Rovers won 3.

Bristol Rovers has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Oxford is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Bristol Rovers could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Oxford have a series of guest games.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

Last 22 head-to-head matches Bristol Rovers won 12 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 32-22.

Including matches at home between the teams Bristol Rovers won 5 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 14-12.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bristol Rovers
English League One
23.01.24	Bristol Rovers - Exeter City	0:1 ✺
20.01.24	Bristol Rovers - Blackpool	1:2 ✺
English FA Cup
17.01.24	Bristol Rovers - Norwich City	1:3 ✺
English League One
13.01.24	Barnsley - Bristol Rovers	2:1 ✺
English FA Cup
06.01.24	Norwich City - Bristol Rovers	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 LLLLT
- Oxford United
English League One
23.01.24	Oxford United - Barnsley	0:1 ✺
13.01.24	Carlisle United - Oxford United	1:3 ✺
English EFL Trophy
09.01.24	AFC Wimbledon - Oxford United	2:0 ✺
English FA Cup
06.01.24	Coventry City - Oxford United	6:2 ✺
English League One
01.01.24	Charlton Athletic - Oxford United	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 LWLLW

Latest Head to Head

English League One
07.10.23	Oxford United - Bristol Rovers	2:1
25.02.23	Oxford United - Bristol Rovers	0:3
13.08.22	Bristol Rovers - Oxford United	1:0
English FA Cup
16.11.21	Bristol Rovers - Oxford United	4:3 ET
07.11.21	Oxford United - Bristol Rovers	2:2
Club Friendly
31.07.21	Bristol Rovers - Oxford United	3:2
English League One
09.02.21	Bristol Rovers - Oxford United	0:2

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