Match Info

Date: 12 February 2022, Saturday


	Würzburger Kickers		Duisburg

	1	X	2
	2.55	3.3	2.55
	2.7	3.4	2.4
	2.6	3.4	2.45
	2.65	3.15	2.6
	2.65	3.54	2.68
	2.55	3.1	2.5
	2.62	3.45	2.58	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.62 ↓ (2.64)	3.33 ↑ (3.23)	2.54 ↑ (2.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Würzburger Kickers
35.5%

Draw
27.9%

Duisburg
36.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.9%

28.5%

36.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.9%

20.4%

51.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Würzburger Kickers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

The chances for Duisburg have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Würzburger Kickers than the current prediction. (-10.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Würzburger Kickers that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Duisburg than the current prediction. (+14.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Duisburg could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Würzburger Kickers - Duisburg Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 17 in the zone Relegation).

Würzburger Kickers has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Duisburg is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Duisburg could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Duisburg have a series of home games.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Würzburger Kickers won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 6-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Würzburger Kickers won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Würzburger Kickers
German 3 Bundesliga
07.02.22	Saarbrücken - Würzburger Kickers	2:1 ✺
28.01.22	Würzburger Kickers - Freiburg II	1:1 ✺
25.01.22	Osnabrück - Würzburger Kickers	2:0 ✺
22.01.22	Würzburger Kickers - Waldhof Mannheim	1:2 ✺
16.01.22	Verl - Würzburger Kickers	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LTLLL
- MSV Duisburg
German 3 Bundesliga
06.02.22	Duisburg - Borussia Dortmund II	1:3 ✺
02.02.22	Duisburg - Osnabrück	3:6 ✺
29.01.22	Wehen Wiesbaden - Duisburg	0:1 ✺
26.01.22	Duisburg - Magdeburg	0:5 ✺
23.01.22	Duisburg - Saarbrücken	3:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

German 3 Bundesliga
04.09.21	Duisburg - Würzburger Kickers	2:0
13.06.20	Duisburg - Würzburger Kickers	1:1
26.10.19	Würzburger Kickers - Duisburg	0:2
Club Friendly
11.07.17	Duisburg - Würzburger Kickers	1:1
German 2 Bundesliga
24.05.16	Duisburg - Würzburger Kickers	1:2
20.05.16	Würzburger Kickers - Duisburg	2:0

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