Match Info

BRAZIL: Paulista A3 - Round 14

Date: 9 March 2025, Sunday


	XV de Jaú		Atlético Monte Azul

	1	X	2
	3.25	2.9	2.1
	3.4	3	2.12
	3.44	2.78	2.13
				Watch
	3.53	2.85	2.15
	3.4	3	2.12
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.4 ↑ (3.29)	2.91 ↓ (3.13)	2.12 ↑ (2.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

XV de Jaú
26.5%

Draw
31%

Atlético Monte Azul
42.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.6%

29%

43.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27%

28.4%

44.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

XV de Jaú has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Atlético Monte Azul has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for XV de Jaú than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Monte Azul than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

XV de Jaú - Atlético Monte Azul Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
22', 0 - 1, Pingo ⚽,
35', 1 - 1, Guilherme A. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
70', 2 - 1, Matheus Sacramento ⚽,
78', 2 - 2, Pingo ⚽,

Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation ~ Paulista A4 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Paulista A3 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Monte Azul is Qualified for Paulista A3 (Play Offs Quarter~finals)

Recent matches XV de Jaú is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Monte Azul is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Monte Azul will have a mini benefit in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- EC XV de Jaú
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A3
05.03.25	XV de Jaú - Itapirense	1:0 ✺
01.03.25	Catanduva - XV de Jaú	2:1 ✺
26.02.25	Lemense FC - XV de Jaú	1:0 ✺
23.02.25	XV de Jaú - Rio Preto	0:1 ✺
19.02.25	Francana - XV de Jaú	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.4 WLLLW
- Atlético Monte Azul
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A3
05.03.25	Atlético Monte Azul - Sertãozinho	1:1 ✺
01.03.25	União São João - Atlético Monte Azul	0:1 ✺
26.02.25	Atlético Monte Azul - Comercial SP	1:0 ✺
23.02.25	Atlético Monte Azul - Marília	3:1 ✺
19.02.25	Catanduva - Atlético Monte Azul	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 TWWWT

XV de Jaú - Atlético Monte Azul: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide