Match Info

Paulista A3 - Play Offs - Semi-finals

Date: 12 April 2026, Sunday


	XV de Jaú		Marília

	1	X	2
	2.72	2.72	2.62
	2.86	2.54	2.72
	2.91	2.58	2.76	Watch
	2.8	2.5	2.7
	2.71	3	2.64
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.8 ↑ (2.6)	2.67 ↓ (3)	2.69 ↑ (2.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

XV de Jaú
32.4%

Draw
34%

Marília
33.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.9%

30.2%

34.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.7%

29.5%

34.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

XV de Jaú has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

Marília has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for XV de Jaú than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marília than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

XV de Jaú - Marília Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Paulista A3 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Paulista A3 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

XV de Jaú is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).

In recent matches, Marília has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Marília may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, XV de Jaú won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).

Including home match between the teams, XV de Jaú won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- EC XV de Jaú
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A3
05.04.26	XV de Jaú - Rio Claro	2:0 ✺
28.03.26	Rio Claro - XV de Jaú	0:1 ✺
21.03.26	Desportivo Brasil - XV de Jaú	1:2 ✺
15.03.26	XV de Jaú - Marília	1:0 ✺
11.03.26	Rio Claro - XV de Jaú	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24.6 WWWWW
- Marília AC
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A3
04.04.26	Marília - EC São Bernardo	3:0 penalties ✺
28.03.26	EC São Bernardo - Marília	2:0 ✺
21.03.26	Marília - Francana	2:0 ✺
15.03.26	XV de Jaú - Marília	1:0 ✺
11.03.26	Marília - União Suzano	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A3
15.03.26	XV de Jaú - Marília	1:0
01.02.25	Marília - XV de Jaú	2:1

XV de Jaú - Marília: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide