Match Info
Paulista A3 - Round 15Date: 21 March 2026, SaturdayLocation: Estadio Bento de Abreu (Sao Paulo)
|
 |
|
 |
|
|
Marília |
|
Francana |
|
|
1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
1.3 |
4.33 |
9.5 |
|
 |
1.29 |
4.35 |
9.6 |
|
 |
1.31 |
4.55 |
8.16 |
|
 |
1.32 |
4.42 |
9.2 |
 Watch |
 |
1.3 |
4 |
12 |
|
 |
1.26 |
4.33 |
13 |
|
 |
1.3 |
4.5 |
9 |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.3
(1.3) |
4.35 ↓
(4.5) |
10.07 ↑
(9) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
- The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Marília
70.1% | Draw
20.9% | Francana
9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Marília has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)Francana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marília than the current prediction. (+3.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Francana than the current prediction. (+0.6%)Marília - Francana Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 14', 1 - 0, Lima L. ⚽,
- 45+6', 2 - 0, Lima L. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
Preview
One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Paulista A3 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 13). Marília is Qualified for Paulista A3 (Play Offs Quarter~finals)Marília is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).Francana has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1). In this match, Marília is the obvious favorite.In the last 1 head-to-head match, Marília won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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