Match Info

Paulista A3 - Round 15

Date: 21 March 2026, Saturday


	Desportivo Brasil		XV de Jaú

	1	X	2
	2.95	2.9	2.25
	3.05	2.98	2.2
	2.97	3.65	2.02
	2.92	3.42	2.18	Watch
	2.9	3.1	2.2
	3.32	3.01	2.23
	2.54	2.83	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.95 ↑ (2.64)	3.13 ↑ (2.99)	2.24 ↓ (2.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Desportivo Brasil
30.7%

Draw
28.9%

XV de Jaú
40.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.7%

30.6%

34.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.1%

30.1%

35.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Desportivo Brasil has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

XV de Jaú has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting XV de Jaú's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Desportivo Brasil than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for XV de Jaú than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for XV de Jaú, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Desportivo Brasil - XV de Jaú Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
41', 0 - 1, Vinicius Tavares ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
90+1', 1 - 1, Ryan Rizardi ⚽,
90+6', 1 - 2, Gugu Vieira ⚽,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation ~ Paulista A4 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Paulista A3 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Recent form of Desportivo Brasil has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).

XV de Jaú is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Desportivo Brasil won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Desportivo Brasil
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A3
14.03.26	Rio Preto - Desportivo Brasil	4:0 ✺
11.03.26	Catanduva - Desportivo Brasil	0:0 ✺
07.03.26	Desportivo Brasil - União Barbarense	1:1 ✺
04.03.26	Desportivo Brasil - Itapirense	1:2 ✺
28.02.26	Marília - Desportivo Brasil	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 LTTLL
- EC XV de Jaú
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A3
15.03.26	XV de Jaú - Marília	1:0 ✺
11.03.26	Rio Claro - XV de Jaú	0:1 ✺
07.03.26	Rio Preto - XV de Jaú	1:0 ✺
04.03.26	XV de Jaú - Catanduva	0:0 ✺
28.02.26	União Suzano - XV de Jaú	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18 WWLTW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A3
12.02.25	XV de Jaú - Desportivo Brasil	0:0

Desportivo Brasil - XV de Jaú: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide