Match Info

Liga Nacional - Apertura - Round 11

Date: 26 September 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio Mario Camposeco (Quetzaltenango)

Where to Watch on TV:


Mexico	FOX Sports


	Xelajú		Comunicaciones

	1	X	2
	1.60	3.40	5.00
	1.58	3.35	5.1
	1.61	3.59	5.4
	1.62	3.71	5.5	Watch
	1.56	3.45	5.25
	1.55	3.65	5.28
	1.59	3.45	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.59 ↓ (1.71)	3.51 ↑ (3.25)	5.22 ↑ (4.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Xelajú
57%

Draw
25.7%

Comunicaciones
17.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.2%

27.5%

20.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.7%

25.8%

19%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Xelajú has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

Comunicaciones has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Xelajú than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Comunicaciones than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

Xelajú - Comunicaciones Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
98. Sican E. (G) 23. Calderon R. 16. Cardona J. 29. Casas D. 6. de Leon M. 30. de Leon O. 14. Gonzalez J. 70. Jaen Y. 71. Mejia O. 5. Monreal E. 13. Tebalan W.	1. Perez F. (G) 31. Bradley D. 36. Camacho S. 3. Cruz Martin E. 5. Dominguez-Ramirez M. 77. Garcia N. 2. Grijalva K. 32. Olivera Moreira L. N. 11. Ortiz A. 30. Raymundo E. 16. Santis D.
Substitutes
11. Cardenas S. 18. Castaneda J. 12. Gonzalez E. 21. Lopez A. 24. Marquez R. 20. Quezada Gamez H. E. . Racancoj J. 1. Silva D. (G) 8. Ubico J.	23. Barrios A. (G) 7. Castaneda B. 19. de la Cruz A. 27. Duarte O. 25. Lemus E. . Ovando J. . Prada D. 9. Vuletich A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
28', 1 - 0, Tebalan W. ⚽,
33', 2 - 0, Mejia O. ⚽,
45', Raymundo E. ↓, Castaneda B. ↑,
45+2', Monreal E. 🟥,
45+5', de Leon O. ↓, Ubico J. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 3)
46', Ortiz A. ↓, Vuletich A. ↑,
46', Castaneda B. 🟨,
59', Camacho S. ↓, Duarte O. ↑,
62', Jaen Y. ↓, Castaneda J. ↑,
63', 2 - 1, Dominguez-Ramirez M. ⚽,
69', Santis D. ↓, Prada D. ↑,
69', Garcia N. ↓, de la Cruz A. ↑,
74', de Leon M. 🟥,
78', Mejia O. ↓, Lopez A. ↑,
86', 2 - 2, Vuletich A. ⚽,
90+4', 2 - 3, de la Cruz A. ⚽,
90+7', Tebalan W. 🟨,
90+7', 🟨,
90+8', Castaneda B. 🟥,

Preview

Important points are at stake as a mid-tier club meets a struggling opponent (ranked 5th in the Promotion ~ Liga Nacional (Apertura ~ PlayoffsQuarter~finals) and 10th).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Xelajú won 4.

Xelajú has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Comunicaciones is experiencing a dip in performance (last 5 matches: 0 wins).

Comunicaciones could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Bookmakers give the edge to Xelajú for this game.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Xelajú has recorded 8 wins, 4 draws, and 8 losses, with a goal aggregate of 27:19 (averaging 1.4:1 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Xelajú against this opponent, the record stands at 5 wins, 1 draw, and 3 losses, with 15:8 goals (averaging 1.7:0.9 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Xelaju	12	5	3	4	24:14	10	18
8	Comunicaciones	12	4	2	6	15:19	-4	14

Last Results with these Odds

Xelajú - the odds 1.71 are the expected chance of winning is 52.23%, but this team recently wins 78% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Club Xelajú
Guatemala Liga Nacional
23.09.26	Xelajú - Antigua GFC	4:0 ✺
20.09.26	Suchitepéquez - Xelajú	2:2 ✺
13.09.26	Deportivo Guastatoya - Xelajú	2:1 ✺
10.09.26	Xelajú - Cobán Imperial	0:0 ✺
05.09.26	Marquense - Xelajú	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 WTLTW
- CSD Comunicaciones
Guatemala Liga Nacional
18.09.26	Comunicaciones - Deportivo Guastatoya	1:2 ✺
13.09.26	Cobán Imperial - Comunicaciones	2:2 ✺
09.09.26	Comunicaciones - Marquense	0:2 ✺
05.09.26	Deportivo Mixco - Comunicaciones	1:1 ✺
29.08.26	Comunicaciones - Municipal	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 LTLTL

Latest Head to Head

Guatemala Liga Nacional
10.05.26	Xelajú - Comunicaciones	2:0
07.05.26	Comunicaciones - Xelajú	2:2
22.03.26	Comunicaciones - Xelajú	1:3
31.01.26	Xelajú - Comunicaciones	2:0
30.11.25	Comunicaciones - Xelajú	0:1
19.09.25	Xelajú - Comunicaciones	3:0
17.04.25	Xelajú - Comunicaciones	3:2

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