Match Info

GUATEMALA: Liga Nacional - Clausura - Round 5

Date: 2 February 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio Mario Camposeco (Quetzaltenango)

Where to Watch on TV:


Guatemala	Tigo Sports
South-america	ViX Latin America


	Xelajú		Deportivo Xinabajul

	1	X	2
	1.49	3.7	5.75
	1.5	3.65	6.4
	1.49	3.95	6.81
	1.5	3.9	7.02	Watch
	1.5	3.5	6.5
	1.55	3.72	6.45	Watch
	1.5	3.65	6.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.5 ↓ (1.53)	3.72 ↑ (3.68)	6.48 ↑ (5.99)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Xelajú
61.1%

Draw
24.7%

Deportivo Xinabajul
14.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.9%

24.9%

15.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.2%

24.4%

15%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Xelajú has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

Deportivo Xinabajul has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Xelajú than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Xinabajul than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

Xelajú - Deportivo Xinabajul Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
29. Calderon J. (G) 52. Aparicio J. 9. Baez P. 16. Cardona J. 26. Cardoza E. 18. Castaneda J. 7. Diaz Y. 14. Gonzalez J. 25. Ruiz K. 28. Tebalan W. 15. Vargas J.	1. Tatuaca L. (G) 17. Aquino D. 20. Baltazar Y. 16. Cabrera G. 10. Chavasco G. 26. Elington E. 70. Hernandez Y. 18. Jucup N. 8. Ubico J. 5. Vasquez E. 23. Yori E.
Substitutes
3. Chuc D. 6. de Leon M. 2. Hernandez De Leon M. A. 22. Lobos N. (G) 77. Longo J. 11. Navarro A. 17. Ochaeta D. 21. Oliva D. 20. Quezada Gamez H. E.	7. Ceballos M. 4. Cifuentes A. 3. Gomez F. 29. Lopez D. 99. Lopez K. 6. Marroquin E. 12. Moreno Alfaro J. E. (G) 22. Sanchez J. 15. Trigueros W.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 1)
17', Cabrera G. 🟨,
28', 1 - 0, Cardoza E. ⚽,
33', Castaneda J. 🟨,
37', 2 - 0, Baez P. ⚽,
41', 🟨,
41', 3 - 0, Aparicio J. ⚽,
45+1', 3 - 1, Chavasco G. ⚽,
2nd Half (4 - 1)
46', Elington E. ↓, Trigueros W. ↑,
46', Cabrera G. ↓, Sanchez J. ↑,
65', Jucup N. ↓, Ceballos M. ↑,
65', Ubico J. ↓, Gomez F. ↑,
66', 4 - 1, Cardoza E. ⚽,
67', Baez P. ↓, Quezada Gamez H. E. ↑,
67', Cardoza E. ↓, Chuc D. ↑,
67', Vargas J. ↓, de Leon M. ↑,
69', Cardona J. 🟨,
69', 4 - 2, Aquino D. ⚽,
71', Diaz Y. 🟨,
73', Baltazar Y. 🟨,
73', de Leon M. 🟨,
76', 5 - 2, Quezada Gamez H. E. ⚽,
78', Yori E. 🟥,
81', 6 - 2, Diaz Y. ⚽,
82', Gonzalez J. ↓, Ochaeta D. ↑,
82', Aparicio J. ↓, Hernandez De Leon M. A. ↑,
82', Baltazar Y. ↓, Cifuentes A. ↑,
90+2', 7 - 2, ⚽,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Club Xelajú
Guatemala Liga Nacional
29.01.25	Malacateco - Xelajú	2:1 ✺
26.01.25	Xelajú - Municipal	1:1 ✺
23.01.25	Xelajú - Antigua GFC	5:1 ✺
19.01.25	Deportivo Achuapa - Xelajú	2:0 ✺
21.12.24	Xelajú - Cobán Imperial	3:0 ET ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 LTWLW
- Deportivo Xinabajul
Guatemala Liga Nacional
30.01.25	Deportivo Xinabajul - Deportivo Achuapa	2:1 ✺
22.01.25	Deportivo Xinabajul - Cobán Imperial	1:2 ✺
18.01.25	Marquense - Deportivo Xinabajul	2:0 ✺
07.12.24	Cobán Imperial - Deportivo Xinabajul	2:1 penalties ✺
04.12.24	Deportivo Xinabajul - Cobán Imperial	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 WLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Guatemala Liga Nacional
07.09.24	Xelajú - Deportivo Xinabajul	2:0
28.02.24	Deportivo Xinabajul - Xelajú	0:0
01.02.24	Xelajú - Deportivo Xinabajul	2:0
17.09.23	Deportivo Xinabajul - Xelajú	2:0
12.08.23	Xelajú - Deportivo Xinabajul	1:1
08.04.23	Xelajú - Deportivo Xinabajul	0:0
15.02.23	Deportivo Xinabajul - Xelajú	0:1

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