Match Info

GUATEMALA: Liga Nacional - Clausura - Round 13

Date: 13 March 2025, Thursday

Location: Estadio Verapaz (Cobán)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	Fox Deportes, Fox Deportes, Fox Sports 1, Foxsports.com


	Cobán Imperial		Deportivo Xinabajul

	1	X	2
	1.47	3.6	6.25
	1.41	4	7
	1.48	3.67	8.18
	1.43	4.19	7.85	Watch
	1.53	3.6	6.25
	1.36	4.15	8.1	Watch
	1.41	4	7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.44 ↓ (1.59)	3.89 ↑ (3.75)	7.23 ↑ (5.04)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cobán Imperial
63.7%

Draw
23.6%

Deportivo Xinabajul
12.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.5%

24.4%

18.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.1%

16.6%

26.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cobán Imperial has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Cobán Imperial's performance.

Deportivo Xinabajul has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Deportivo Xinabajul might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cobán Imperial than the current prediction. (-24.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Cobán Imperial that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Xinabajul than the current prediction. (+13.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Deportivo Xinabajul could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Cobán Imperial - Deportivo Xinabajul Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Alvarez M. (G) 17. Cabrera A. 14. De Leon L. 19. Guarch T. 28. Janderson (C) 32. Lemus B. 31. Monroy E. 9. Moran J. 30. Soto E. 16. Teni S. 4. Thales	12. Moreno Alfaro J. E. (G) 88. Alvarado C. 21. Amaral U. 20. Baltazar Y. 7. Ceballos M. 4. Cifuentes A. 32. Gonzalez F. 70. Hernandez Y. 18. Jucup N. 8. Ubico J. 5. Vasquez E.
Substitutes
33. Ayala V. (G) 12. Bol E. 7. Mejia O. 98. Milla J. 48. Moran Y. A. 11. Rivas E. 24. Rivas M. 26. Tiul K. 77. Winter C.	14. Aldana B. 17. Aquino D. 33. Diaz D. 26. Elington E. 3. Gomez F. 6. Marroquin E. 13. Mendoza O. (G) 22. Sanchez J. 15. Trigueros W.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
13', 1 - 0, Janderson ⚽,
19', Cabrera A. 🟨,
33', Cifuentes A. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
50', Teni S. 🟨,
60', Guarch T. ↓, Rivas M. ↑,
62', Ubico J. ↓, Aldana B. ↑,
64', Lemus B. ↓, Milla J. ↑,
65', Moran J. ↓, Winter C. ↑,
73', Monroy E. ↓, Moran Y. A. ↑,
73', Cabrera A. ↓, Mejia O. ↑,
74', 2 - 0, Thales ⚽,
78', Baltazar Y. ↓, Elington E. ↑,
78', Jucup N. ↓, Sanchez J. ↑,
79', Cifuentes A. 🟥,
80', Alvarado C. 🟨,

Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Nacional (Clausura ~ Play Offs: ) and 11).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Cobán Imperial won 2.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Xinabajul could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Cobán Imperial is indisputable favorite.

Last 13 head-to-head matches Cobán Imperial won 5 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 19:15 (average 1.5:1.2).

Including matches at home between the teams Cobán Imperial won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 10:8 (average 1.7:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cobán Imperial
Guatemala Liga Nacional
06.03.25	Malacateco - Cobán Imperial	4:1 ✺
02.03.25	Municipal - Cobán Imperial	2:1 ✺
22.02.25	Cobán Imperial - Xelajú	1:0 ✺
16.02.25	Deportivo Achuapa - Cobán Imperial	0:2 ✺
09.02.25	Cobán Imperial - Antigua GFC	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 LLWWL
- Deportivo Xinabajul
Guatemala Liga Nacional
05.03.25	Deportivo Xinabajul - Marquense	2:0 ✺
02.03.25	Deportivo Xinabajul - Comunicaciones	0:1 ✺
23.02.25	Deportivo Guastatoya - Deportivo Xinabajul	1:2 ✺
16.02.25	Deportivo Xinabajul - Deportivo Mixco	1:2 ✺
12.02.25	Antigua GFC - Deportivo Xinabajul	6:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.2 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Guatemala Liga Nacional
22.01.25	Deportivo Xinabajul - Cobán Imperial	1:2
07.12.24	Cobán Imperial - Deportivo Xinabajul	2:1 penalties
04.12.24	Deportivo Xinabajul - Cobán Imperial	0:0
20.10.24	Cobán Imperial - Deportivo Xinabajul	0:0
04.08.24	Deportivo Xinabajul - Cobán Imperial	Coban Imperial awarded
10.03.24	Cobán Imperial - Deportivo Xinabajul	2:5
11.02.24	Deportivo Xinabajul - Cobán Imperial	2:2

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