Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 4 - Round 22

Date: 25 February 2026, Wednesday


	Xerez Deportivo		Real Jaén

	1	X	2
	2.55	2.8	2.65
	2.62	2.82	2.72
	2.72	2.88	2.71
	2.74	2.81	2.74
	2.7	2.7	2.7
	2.66	2.8	2.65
	2.37	2.8	3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.62 ↑ (2.4)	2.8 ↑ (2.75)	2.77 ↓ (3.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Xerez Deportivo
34.7%

Draw
32.5%

Real Jaén
32.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.9%

33%

29.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.8%

33.8%

28.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Xerez Deportivo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

Real Jaén has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Xerez Deportivo than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Jaén than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

Xerez Deportivo - Real Jaén Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.25 - Xerez Deportivo (2.23) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Xerez Deportivo (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 3)
58', Udom E. 🟨,
58', 0 - 1, Adri P. ⚽,
68', 1 - 1, Iglesias D. Y. ⚽,
89', 1 - 2, Siverio Toro M. ⚽,
90+7', 1 - 3, ⚽,

Preview

Xerez Deportivo has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Jaén is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Jaén may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Xerez Deportivo won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Xerez Deportivo FC
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
22.02.26	Xerez Deportivo - CD Extremadura	0:0 ✺
15.02.26	Puente Genil - Xerez Deportivo	1:1 ✺
31.01.26	Malaga B - Xerez Deportivo	2:1 ✺
25.01.26	Xerez Deportivo - UCAM Murcia	1:2 ✺
18.01.26	Yeclano Deportivo - Xerez Deportivo	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 TTLLL
- Real Jaén
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
22.02.26	Melilla - Real Jaén	0:1 ✺
15.02.26	Real Jaén - Minera	2:0 ✺
01.02.26	Real Jaén - Estepona	0:0 ✺
25.01.26	Almeria B - Real Jaén	1:1 ✺
18.01.26	Real Jaén - Lorca Deportiva	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.7 WWTTW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
28.09.25	Real Jaén - Xerez Deportivo	2:1

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