Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 4 - Round 14

Date: 7 December 2025, Sunday


	Xerez Deportivo		Recreativo Huelva

	1	X	2
	2.82	2.72	2.58
	3.01	2.78	2.72
	2.96	2.67	2.67
	2.9	2.63	2.63
	2.78	2.77	2.57
	2.75	3	2.54
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.87 ↓ (3.04)	2.76 ↓ (2.9)	2.62 ↑ (2.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Xerez Deportivo
31.9%

Draw
33.1%

Recreativo Huelva
35%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.9%

31.3%

38.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.3%

31.9%

39.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Xerez Deportivo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

Recreativo Huelva has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Xerez Deportivo than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Recreativo Huelva than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

Xerez Deportivo - Recreativo Huelva Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
77', 0 - 1, Arcos A. ⚽,
90+3', 1 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

Xerez Deportivo is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

In recent matches, Recreativo has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Xerez Deportivo won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:3. (average 0:1).

Including home match between the teams, Xerez Deportivo won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Last Results with these Odds

Xerez Deportivo - the odds 3.04 are the expected chance of winning is 29.93%, but this team recently wins 40% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Xerez Deportivo FC
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
30.11.25	Estepona - Xerez Deportivo	0:2 ✺
23.11.25	Xerez Deportivo - Puente Genil	1:0 ✺
16.11.25	Melilla - Xerez Deportivo	1:1 ✺
09.11.25	Xerez Deportivo - Almeria B	1:1 ✺
02.11.25	Xerez Deportivo - Antoniano	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 WWTTW
- Recreativo Huelva
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
30.11.25	Recreativo Huelva - Águilas	0:0 ✺
23.11.25	Real Jaén - Recreativo Huelva	2:1 ✺
09.11.25	Yeclano Deportivo - Recreativo Huelva	1:0 ✺
02.11.25	Recreativo Huelva - Atlético Malagueño	1:0 ✺
26.10.25	La Unión - Recreativo Huelva	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 TLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
16.08.24	Recreativo Huelva - Xerez Deportivo	2:0
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
16.04.23	Recreativo Huelva - Xerez Deportivo	0:0
04.12.22	Xerez Deportivo - Recreativo Huelva	0:1

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