Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 4 - Round 12

Date: 23 November 2025, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub


	Real Jaén		Recreativo Huelva

	1	X	2
	2.68	2.98	2.52
	2.55	3.09	2.69	Watch
	2.83	3.14	2.51
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.69 ↑ (2.5)	3.07 ↑ (3)	2.57 ↓ (2.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real Jaén
34.3%

Draw
30%

Recreativo Huelva
35.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.8%

29.8%

34.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.1%

29.2%

35.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Jaén has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

Recreativo Huelva has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Jaén than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Recreativo Huelva than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

Real Jaén - Recreativo Huelva Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 1)
83', 0 - 1, da Costa M. ⚽,
87', 1 - 1, Maroto A. ⚽,
88', Ramirez J. 🟥,
90+1', 2 - 1, Sako S. ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 10 and 6).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Jaén won 2.

Jaén is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Recreativo has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Recreativo may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Jaén won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:7. (average 1.5:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Jaén won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:4. (average 2:1.3).

Last Results with these Odds

Recreativo Huelva - the odds 2.6 are the expected chance of winning is 34.4%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Jaén
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
16.11.25	La Unión - Real Jaén	2:0 ✺
09.11.25	Real Jaén - Linares Deportivo	0:1 ✺
02.11.25	Minera - Real Jaén	1:1 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
29.10.25	Real Jaén - Eldense	1:3 ✺
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
25.10.25	Real Jaén - Almeria B	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LLTLW
- Recreativo Huelva
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
09.11.25	Yeclano Deportivo - Recreativo Huelva	1:0 ✺
02.11.25	Recreativo Huelva - Atlético Malagueño	1:0 ✺
26.10.25	La Unión - Recreativo Huelva	0:1 ✺
19.10.25	Recreativo Huelva - Xerez CD	1:2 ✺
12.10.25	Minera - Recreativo Huelva	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 LWWLT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
15.01.17	Real Jaén - Recreativo Huelva	1:3
27.08.16	Recreativo Huelva - Real Jaén	0:0
28.02.16	Recreativo Huelva - Real Jaén	2:2
11.10.15	Real Jaén - Recreativo Huelva	2:0
Spanish LaLiga2
11.05.14	Real Jaén - Recreativo Huelva	3:1
04.12.13	Recreativo Huelva - Real Jaén	1:1

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