Match Info

Super League - Round 26

Date: 23 October 2025, Thursday

Location: Xorazm Stadium (Urgench)


	Xorazm Urganch		Pakhtakor

	1	X	2
	4.65	3.6	1.62
	5	3.93	1.62
	6.31	4.50	1.40	Watch
	5.03	3.84	1.64
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.25 ↓ (6.31)	3.97 ↓ (4.5)	1.57 ↑ (1.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Xorazm Urganch
17.7%

Draw
23.3%

Pakhtakor
59%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

14.5%

20.3%

65.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

14.2%

19.8%

66.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Xorazm Urganch has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

Pakhtakor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Pakhtakor might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Xorazm Urganch than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pakhtakor than the current prediction. (+7.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Pakhtakor could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	25%	75%

Xorazm Urganch - Pakhtakor Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Pakhtakor will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
39. Potapov A. (G) 15. Bubanja V. 6. Otakhonov A. 27. Toshpulatov I. 77. Abdullazhonov S. 8. Tursunkulov K. 18. Shaykulov I. 9. Azimov J. 94. Abdukhamidov R. 10. Bobodzhonov M. 11. Iminov K.	12. Nazarov V. (G) 22. Adkhamzoda U. 4. Tahseen Z. 5. Khamraliev M. 77. Saitov D. 23. Buriev A. 9. Ibrokhimov I. 15. Erkinov K. 21. Resan B. 17. Khamdamov D. 18. Abdikholikov B.
Substitutes
79. Akhrorov A. 20. Ezhov D. 7. Ismoilov T. 5. Juraev D. 88. Khusinov A. 13. Muhammadjonov M. (G) 22. Saidkhonov A. 99. Samiev S. 3. Sultonov R.	20. Abdullaev D. 55. Abdumazhidov M. 13. Anvarov I. 2. Askarov B. 19. Jhonatan (G) 94. Riascos B. 10. Turgunboev A. 80. Uktamov B. 41. Zukhriddinov F.
Coaches
Davletov F.	Tadzhiev K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
6', Azimov J. 🟨,
45+1', Adkhamzoda U. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Bobodzhonov M. ↓, Samiev S. ↑,
46', Azimov J. ↓, Khusinov A. ↑,
61', Abdullazhonov S. ↓, Ismoilov T. ↑,
69', Abdikholikov B. ↓, Riascos B. ↑,
77', 0 - 1, Ibrokhimov I. ⚽, Saitov D. (A),
78', Khamdamov D. ↓, Turgunboev A. ↑,
79', Iminov K. ↓, Saidkhonov A. ↑,
85', Tahseen Z. 🟥,
90', Samiev S. 🟥,
90', Resan B. ↓, Abdullaev D. ↑,
90+1', Toshpulatov I. ↓, Akhrorov A. ↑,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 13 and 3).

In recent matches, Xorazm has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Pakhtakor is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In this match, Pakhtakor is the obvious favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Xorazm won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Xorazm Urganch
Uzbek League
17.10.25	Mashal Mubarek - Xorazm Urganch	0:3 ✺
03.10.25	Xorazm Urganch - Navbahor Namangan	1:1 ✺
25.09.25	Nasaf Qarshi - Xorazm Urganch	2:1 ✺
20.09.25	Xorazm Urganch - Kokand 1912	0:0 ✺
14.09.25	Bunyodkor - Xorazm Urganch	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 WTLTL
- Pakhtakor Tashkent
Uzbek League
19.10.25	Pakhtakor - Qizilqum	3:0 ✺
04.10.25	Buxoro - Pakhtakor	0:4 ✺
29.09.25	Pakhtakor - Surkhon Termez	1:0 ✺
Uzbek Cup
25.09.25	Pakhtakor - Dinamo Samarqand	1:0 penalties ✺
Uzbek League
19.09.25	Shurtan Guzar - Pakhtakor	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 WWWWT

Latest Head to Head

Uzbek League
25.05.25	Pakhtakor - Xorazm Urganch	2:1

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