Match Info
Tercera RFEF - Group 16 - Round 23Date: 21 February 2026, Saturday
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Yagüe |
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Haro Deportivo |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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2.1 |
3.3 |
2.98 |
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6.45 |
3.92 |
1.49 |
 Watch |
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2.2 |
3.2 |
2.9 |
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2.19 |
3.3 |
2.92 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.24 ↑
(2.12) |
3.43 ↑
(3.36) |
2.57 ↓
(2.96) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
- The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Yagüe
31.2% | Draw
29.5% | Haro Deportivo
39.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Yagüe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Yagüe's form might have worsened.Haro Deportivo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Haro Deportivo's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Yagüe than the current prediction. (+11.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Yagüe, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Haro Deportivo than the current prediction. (-9.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Haro Deportivo, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.Yagüe - Haro Deportivo Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 16', 0 - 1, Santurde A. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 53', 0 - 2, ⚽,
- 58', 1 - 2, ⚽,
Preview
Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 8 and 9).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Yagüe won 2.The recent form of both competitors has been shaky. Yagüe will hold a modest advantage in this match.In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Yagüe won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:11. (average 1.4:1.4).Including home matches between the teams, Yagüe won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:7. (average 1:1.4).
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Haro Deportivo | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 12:6 | 6 | 13 |
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| 10 | Yague | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5:8 | -3 | 6 |
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 16 | | | 12.10.25 | Haro Deportivo - Yagüe | 2:5 | | 05.04.25 | Yagüe - Haro Deportivo | 2:1 | | 24.11.24 | Haro Deportivo - Yagüe | 0:0 | | 04.02.23 | Yagüe - Haro Deportivo | 2:2 | | 02.10.22 | Haro Deportivo - Yagüe | 2:1 | | 27.03.22 | Yagüe - Haro Deportivo | 1:0 | | 16.02.19 | Yagüe - Haro Deportivo | 0:3 |
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