The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Yanbian Longding 64.3%
Draw 21.4%
Foshan Nanshi 14.3%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
53%
25.3%
21.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
54.6%
24.6%
21.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Yanbian Longding has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.3%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Yanbian Longding's performance.
Foshan Nanshi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Foshan Nanshi might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yanbian Longding than the current prediction. (-9.7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Yanbian Longding that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Foshan Nanshi than the current prediction. (+6.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Foshan Nanshi could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Yanbian Longding - Foshan Nanshi Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
21. Kou Jiahao (G) 14. Cui Taixu 15. Xu Jizu 19. Duan Dezhi 6. Li Ximin 37. Giovanny 5. Domingos J. 20. Jin Taiyan 30. Huang Zhenfei 10. Brown F. (C) 4. Nunez V.
26. Ge Yifan (G) 2. Qian Yumiao 12. Liu Zongyuan 32. Yu G. (C) 15. Benavides N. 22. Jiang Z. 29. Xu Yue 7. Mu Zihan 25. Aniwar Abduwahap 44. Antwi R. 11. Ndiaye M.
Substitutes
11. Chen Keqiang 2. Che Zeping 43. Cui Xuanyou 32. Huang Z. 33. Hu Ziqian 7. Li Shibin 28. Pan Xuanyu 17. Piao Shihao 13. Wang Haocheng (G) 23. Wang Zihao 16. Xu Wenguang 9. Zong Xuanyu
9. Chang Feiya 24. Deletic M. 1. Gao Yuqin (G) 3. Jiang W. 5. Jin Liangkuan 19. Liu H. 33. Qin Haoqing (G) 31. Yao Hui 21. Yu Zean 14. Zheng Junwei 10. Zhong Ziqin
Coaches
Lee Ki-Hyung
Li H.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
15', 1 - 0, Duan Dezhi ⚽, Nunez V. (A),
26', 2 - 0, Huang Zhenfei ⚽, Jin Taiyan (A),
45+1', Yu G. 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
46', Mu Zihan ↓, Zhong Ziqin ↑,
59', 3 - 0, Giovanny (Penalty Awarded),
72', Xu Yue ↓, Chang Feiya ↑,
75', Jin Taiyan ↓, Pan Xuanyu ↑,
75', Huang Zhenfei ↓, Zong Xuanyu ↑,
80', Li Ximin ↓, Piao Shihao ↑,
81', 4 - 0, Brown F. ⚽, Cui Taixu (A),
85', Duan Dezhi ↓, Cui Xuanyou ↑,
85', Yu G. ↓, Yao Hui ↑,
85', Jiang Z. ↓, Jiang W. ↑,
90', 5 - 0, Brown F. ⚽, Giovanny (A),
Preview
A mid-table side takes on an opponent fighting to pull away from the danger zone (ranked 7th and 16th in the Relegation - League Two).
Yanbian Longding has struggled for results with multiple recent losses (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
Performances by Foshan Nanshi have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).
In this matchup, Yanbian Longding is considered the favorite to take the win.
In the last 5 head-to-head meetings, Yanbian Longding has recorded 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 8:6 (averaging 1.6:1.2 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Yanbian Longding against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 4:2 goals (averaging 2:1 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
6
Yanbian Longding
28
11
9
8
41:30
11
42
16
Foshan Nanshi ✔
28
3
7
18
28:64
-36
16
Last Results with these Odds
Foshan Nanshi - the odds 4.2 are the expected chance of winning is 21.7%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.
China
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Kou Jiahao (G) 
Giovanny 
Domingos J. 
Brown F. (C) 
Nunez V. 
Antwi R. 
Ndiaye M. 
Deletic M. 
Lee Ki-Hyung 
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