Match Info

League One - Round 25

Date: 6 October 2026, Tuesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Development Area Stadium (Changchun) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
China	19:00	Migu


	Changchun Yatai		Yanbian Longding

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.85	3.30	3.60
	1.83	3.35	3.90	Watch
	1.93	3.60	4.04
	1.88	3.52	3.94	Watch
	1.90	3.30	4.00
	1.92	3.45	3.87	Watch
	1.90	3.35	3.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.89 ↓ (2.38)	3.41 ↑ (3.15)	3.86 ↑ (2.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Changchun Yatai
49%

Draw
27.1%

Yanbian Longding
24%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

38.2%

28.8%

33%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.8%

28.4%

32.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Changchun Yatai has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Changchun Yatai's performance.

Yanbian Longding has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Yanbian Longding might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Changchun Yatai than the current prediction. (-10.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Changchun Yatai that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Yanbian Longding than the current prediction. (+8.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Yanbian Longding could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Changchun Yatai - Yanbian Longding Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Changchun Yatai will win (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Wu Yake (G) 41. Wu Junjie 4. Wang Weipu 27. Reiner C. 37. Zhou Dadi 16. Tudi Dilyimit 6. Li Qiang 25. Chen Xuhuang 17. Muhamet 9. Omoijuanfo O. (C) 7. Salazar J.	21. Kou Jiahao (G) 14. Cui Taixu 15. Xu Jizu 4. Nunez V. 19. Duan Dezhi 20. Jin Taiyan 17. Piao Shihao (C) 6. Li Ximin 37. Giovanny 10. Brown F. 30. Huang Zhenfei
Substitutes
22. Benhaddouche C. 13. Dong Yifan (G) 3. Du Kaile 44. Fan Chao 21. He Xin 14. JIng Boxi 5. Ling Chuanbin 39. Liu Ziheng 38. Sun Xipeng 29. Tan Long 32. Tian Ziyi 8. Wu Zhicheng	11. Chen Keqiang 2. Che Zeping 43. Cui Xuanyou 8. He Zhenyu 32. Huang Z. 33. Hu Ziqian 7. Li Shibin 28. Pan Xuanyu 45. Qu Yanheng 13. Wang Haocheng (G) 23. Wang Zihao 16. Xu Wenguang
Coaches
Yan Feng	Lee Ki-Hyung

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
13', 0 - 1, Giovanny ⚽,
17', Muhamet ↓, Du Kaile ↑,
35', Brown F. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Li Qiang ↓, Tan Long ↑,
55', Cui Taixu 🟨,
68', Tudi Dilyimit ↓, Sun Xipeng ↑,
69', Huang Zhenfei ↓, Qu Yanheng ↑,
74', Cui Taixu 🟨,
78', Qu Yanheng ↓, Pan Xuanyu ↑,
78', Piao Shihao ↓, Xu Wenguang ↑,
82', 1 - 1, Salazar J. ⚽, Wang Weipu (A),
83', Wu Junjie ↓, Ling Chuanbin ↑,
83', Zhou Dadi ↓, Benhaddouche C. ↑,
83', Li Ximin ↓, Wang Zihao ↑,
88', Sun Xipeng 🟨,

Preview

A competitive mid-table side looks to challenge an upper-table opponent (ranked 9th and 6th).

Changchun Yatai has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Yanbian Longding has struggled for form in recent encounters (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Yanbian Longding could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Recently, Yanbian Longding has had a run of games away from home.

Changchun Yatai is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head meeting, Changchun Yatai has recorded 0 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 2:2.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Yanbian Longding	28	11	9	8	41:30	11	42
9	Changchun Yatai	28	11	6	11	45:45	0	35

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Changchun Yatai
Chinese Jia League
26.09.26	Nantong Zhiyun - Changchun Yatai	2:0 ✺
19.09.26	Shenzhen Juniors - Changchun Yatai	1:1 ✺
12.09.26	Changchun Yatai - Dingnan United	1:0 ✺
05.09.26	Changchun Yatai - Ningbo Professional	2:0 ✺
30.08.26	Guangdong GZ-Power - Changchun Yatai	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 LTWWL
- Yanbian Longding
Chinese Jia League
18.09.26	Yanbian Longding - Guangdong GZ-Power	1:2 ✺
12.09.26	Guangxi Hengchen - Yanbian Longding	2:1 ✺
05.09.26	Wuxi Wugou - Yanbian Longding	2:0 ✺
29.08.26	Shaanxi Union - Yanbian Longding	3:1 ✺
22.08.26	Ningbo Professional - Yanbian Longding	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Chinese Jia League
30.05.26	Yanbian Longding - Changchun Yatai	2:2

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