Match Info

League One - Round 16

Date: 25 July 2026, Saturday

Location: Development Area Stadium (Changchun)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Changchun Yatai		Nanjing City

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.70	3.40	4.20
	1.62	3.70	4.70	Watch
	1.71	3.76	4.98
	1.81	3.56	4.27	Watch
	1.65	3.70	4.90
	1.63	3.65	4.68	Watch
	1.68	3.50	4.60
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.69 ↓ (1.8)	3.61 ↑ (3.45)	4.62 ↑ (3.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Changchun Yatai
54.6%

Draw
25.5%

Nanjing City
19.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.4%

26.3%

23.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.6%

25.2%

22.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Changchun Yatai has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

Nanjing City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Changchun Yatai than the current prediction. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nanjing City than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	0%	20%

Changchun Yatai - Nanjing City Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Changchun Yatai will win (votes: 4 - 80%). Nanjing City will win (votes: 1 - 20%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Changchun Yatai (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Dong Yifan (G) 35. Jiang Zilei 27. Reiner C. 4. Wang Weipu 20. Fan Houtai 25. Chen Xuhuang 6. Li Qiang 37. Zhou Dadi 29. Tan Long (C) 9. Omoijuanfo O. 7. Salazar J.	26. Yang Chao (G) 18. Dong Honglin (C) 15. Tayir Shewketjan 20. Liu Le 22. Meng Zhen 11. Hu Rentian 5. Wong W. 17. An Bang 23. Hu Jinghang 10. Ngom Mbekeli J. 31. Zhu Qiwen
Substitutes
1. An Zhicheng (G) 22. Benhaddouche C. 3. Du Kaile 44. Fan Chao 14. JIng Boxi 5. Ling Chuanbin 39. Liu Ziheng 17. Muhamet 38. Sun Xipeng 32. Tian Ziyi 16. Tudi Dilyimit 8. Wu Zhicheng	29. Fu Shang 28. Han Q. 14. Qurban W. 30. Wei Minghe 33. Xiang Rongjun 21. Xi Anjie (G) 8. Yang Dejiang 16. Yang He 13. Zhai Zhaoyu 45. Zheng Hao (G) 6. Zhou Y.
Coaches
Yan Feng	Zhang X.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
4', Dong Honglin 🟨,
11', 1 - 0, Salazar J. ⚽, Omoijuanfo O. (A),
25', Fan Houtai 🟨,
28', 2 - 0, Omoijuanfo O. ⚽, Li Qiang (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Tayir Shewketjan ↓, Zhai Zhaoyu ↑,
46', Wong W. ↓, Fu Shang ↑,
46', An Bang ↓, Zhou Y. ↑,
61', Wang Weipu ↓, JIng Boxi ↑,
75', Salazar J. ↓, Sun Xipeng ↑,
82', Li Qiang ↓, Tudi Dilyimit ↑,
83', Jiang Zilei ↓, Tian Ziyi ↑,
85', Liu Le ↓, Xiang Rongjun ↑,
85', Zhu Qiwen ↓, Qurban W. ↑,
86', 2 - 1, Qurban W. ⚽, Hu Rentian (A),
89', Meng Zhen 🟨,

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 12 and 9).

Changchun Yatai has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Nanjing City is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Nanjing City may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Changchun Yatai might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Changchun Yatai won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:5. (average 2.5:2.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Changchun Yatai	25	10	4	11	38:41	-3	30
15	Nanjing City	25	5	6	14	21:37	-16	21

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Changchun Yatai
Chinese Jia League
17.07.26	Changchun Yatai - Wuxi Wugou	1:5 ✺
05.07.26	Meizhou Hakka - Changchun Yatai	1:3 ✺
27.06.26	Changchun Yatai - Guangxi Hengchen	1:2 ✺
13.06.26	Changchun Yatai - Dalian Kun City	2:1 ✺
30.05.26	Yanbian Longding - Changchun Yatai	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 LWLWT
- Nanjing City FC
Chinese Jia League
18.07.26	Nanjing City - Guangdong GZ-Power	0:1 ✺
11.07.26	Dalian Kun City - Nanjing City	2:0 ✺
05.07.26	Nanjing City - Foshan Nanshi	3:1 ✺
27.06.26	Shijiazhuang Gongfu - Nanjing City	2:1 ✺
13.06.26	Nanjing City - Ningbo Professional	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.9 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Chinese Jia League
15.03.26	Nanjing City - Changchun Yatai	2:1
Chinese FA Cup
22.06.23	Nanjing City - Changchun Yatai	3:4

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