Match Info

CHINA: Jia League - Round 25

Date: 28 September 2024, Saturday

Location: Yanji Nationwide Fitness Centre Stadium (Yanji)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	QQ Sports


	Yanbian Longding		Yunnan Yukun

	1	X	2
				Watch
	5.75	4.2	1.42
	7	4	1.42	Watch
	6.68	4.2	1.44
	6.82	4.27	1.46	Watch
	6.5	4.5	1.36
	6.8	4.2	1.4	Watch
	7	4	1.42
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.65 ↓ (7.27)	4.2 ↓ (5)	1.42 ↑ (1.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Yanbian Longding
13.7%

Draw
21.8%

Yunnan Yukun
64.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

12.5%

18.2%

69.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

12%

17.5%

72%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Yanbian Longding has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

Yunnan Yukun has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yanbian Longding than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Yunnan Yukun than the current prediction. (+7.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Yunnan Yukun could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Yanbian Longding - Yunnan Yukun Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
19. Dong Jialin (G) 20. Jin Taiyan 3. Wang Peng (C) 15. Xu Jizu 5. Li Da 23. Wang Chengkuai 14. Li L. 10. Ivo 6. Li Qiang 17. Li Shibin 9. Ronan	1. Yao Haoyang (G) 22. Mawlanniyaz D. 18. Yi Teng 8. Zhong H. 5. Jiang Jihong (C) 33. Cao Haiqing 36. Zang Yifeng 27. Han Zilong 10. Ionita II A. 9. Labyad Z. 30. Mushekwi N.
Substitutes
11. Arboleda V. 40. Huang Yuxuan 39. Hu Z. 18. Khedrup Lobsang 33. Li Jinyu 13. Lin Taijun 12. Li Ya'nan (G) 32. Ren J. 30. Wang B. 26. Xu Wenguang 38. Zhang Aokai 25. Zhang Hao	11. Chen C. 26. Cui Ming'an 21. Li B. 2. Li Peng 3. Liu Yi 7. Luo Jing 15. Shi Zhe 20. Tsui Wang-Kit 24. Yu Jianxian (G) 23. Zhang Jianzhi (G) 12. Zhao Jianan 16. Zhao Jianbo
Coaches
Lee Ki-Hyung	Andersen J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
18', 0 - 1, Cao Haiqing ⚽, Yi Teng (A),
32', Labyad Z. 🟨,
41', Han Zilong ↓, Luo Jing ↑,
45', 0 - 2, Zang Yifeng ⚽, Mushekwi N. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Wang Chengkuai ↓, Khedrup Lobsang ↑,
46', Cao Haiqing ↓, Zhao Jianan ↑,
56', Li Shibin ↓, Lin Taijun ↑,
61', 1 - 2, Ronan (Pen),
88', Li Qiang ↓, Li Jinyu ↑,
90+1', Labyad Z. ↓, Li Peng ↑,
90+2', Jiang Jihong ↓, Tsui Wang-Kit ↑,
90+2', 1 - 3, Ionita II A. ⚽,
90+4', Ronan 🟨,

Preview

Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 10 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Super League).

Recent matches Yanbian Longding is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Yunnan Yukun is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recently Yanbian Longding have a series of guest games.

In this match Yunnan Yukun is absolute favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Yanbian Longding won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Yanbian Longding
Chinese Jia League
21.09.24	Heilongjiang Ice City - Yanbian Longding	0:1 ✺
15.09.24	Liaoning Tieren - Yanbian Longding	2:1 ✺
08.09.24	Yanbian Longding - Dalian Young Boy	2:2 ✺
01.09.24	Shijiazhuang Gongfu - Yanbian Longding	0:1 ✺
25.08.24	Chongqing Tongliang Long - Yanbian Longding	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 34.1 WLTWT
- Yunnan Yukun
Chinese Jia League
21.09.24	Yunnan Yukun - Qingdao Red Lions	5:0 ✺
15.09.24	Chongqing Tongliang Long - Yunnan Yukun	3:2 ✺
07.09.24	Yunnan Yukun - Guangxi Pingguo Haliao	0:0 ✺
01.09.24	Wuxi Wugou - Yunnan Yukun	0:4 ✺
24.08.24	Yunnan Yukun - Jiangxi Lushan	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 WLTWW

Latest Head to Head

Chinese Jia League
12.05.24	Yunnan Yukun - Yanbian Longding	5:1

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