Match Info

CHINA: Jia League - Round 22

Date: 7 September 2024, Saturday

Location: Yuxi Plateau Sports Center Stadium (Yuxi)


	Yunnan Yukun		Guangxi Pingguo Haliao

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.18	6.25	11.5
	1.2	5.5	13	Watch
	1.22	5.9	12.88
	1.25	5.45	12.68	Watch
	1.14	6	15
	1.17	6	12.9	Watch
	1.2	5.5	13
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.19 ↓ (1.51)	5.8 ↑ (3.83)	12.99 ↑ (6.09)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Yunnan Yukun
77.1%

Draw
15.9%

Guangxi Pingguo Haliao
7.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.9%

24%

15.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.1%

23.2%

14.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Yunnan Yukun has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+16.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Yunnan Yukun's performance.

Guangxi Pingguo Haliao has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Guangxi Pingguo Haliao might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yunnan Yukun than the current prediction. (-14%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Yunnan Yukun that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guangxi Pingguo Haliao than the current prediction. (+7.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Guangxi Pingguo Haliao could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Yunnan Yukun - Guangxi Pingguo Haliao Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Yao Haoyang (G) 22. Mawlanniyaz D. 5. Jiang Jihong 18. Yi Teng 33. Cao Haiqing 10. Ionita II A. 6. Zhao Yuhao 9. Labyad Z. 7. Luo Jing 30. Mushekwi N. 27. Han Zilong	13. Dong Yifan (G) 2. Wang Huapeng 6. Zhang Wentao 25. Liu Yang 28. Zhang Xiangshuo 8. Hu Jiajin 36. Gao Jiarun 3. Yi Xianlong 7. Hevel H. 37. Giovanny 19. Wang Jingbin
Substitutes
26. Cui Ming'an 21. Li B. 2. Li Peng 3. Liu Yi 17. Liu Yi 14. Liu Yuhao 15. Shi Zhe 24. Yu Jianxian (G) 36. Zang Yifeng 23. Zhang Jianzhi (G) 12. Zhao Jianan 8. Zhong H.	23. Bai Jiajun 44. Fan Chao 31. Guo Yi 22. He L. (G) 12. Huang Xin 11. Hu Rentian 18. Lu Pin 29. Shan P. 17. Sun Weizhe 20. Tao Yuan 15. Yang Minjie 21. Zhao Haichao
Coaches
Andersen J.	Gaspar A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
21', Cao Haiqing 🟨,
23', Hevel H. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
69', Zhang Wentao ↓, Huang Xin ↑,
74', Zhao Yuhao ↓, Liu Yuhao ↑,
74', Luo Jing ↓, Zang Yifeng ↑,
77', Zang Yifeng 🟨,
80', Yi Xianlong ↓, Sun Weizhe ↑,
85', Han Zilong ↓, Li B. ↑,
85', Labyad Z. ↓, Liu Yi ↑,
90+2', Liu Yuhao 🟨,
90+2', Hu Jiajin ↓, Fan Chao ↑,
90+6', Giovanny 🟨,

Preview

One of the most exciting matches of the day will feature two top-of-the-table teams (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Super League and 5).

Yunnan Yukun is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Guangxi Pingguo Haliao is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Yunnan Yukun is the unquestionable favorite.

Our prediction for today's Yunnan Yukun to win the game is with odds 1.42.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Yunnan Yukun won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Yunnan Yukun won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Yunnan Yukun
Chinese Jia League
01.09.24	Wuxi Wugou - Yunnan Yukun	0:4 ✺
24.08.24	Yunnan Yukun - Jiangxi Lushan	3:0 ✺
17.08.24	Yunnan Yukun - Guangzhou Evergrande	1:1 ✺
20.07.24	Heilongjiang Ice City - Yunnan Yukun	0:0 ✺
13.07.24	Nanjing City - Yunnan Yukun	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 WWTTW
- Guangxi Pingguo Haliao
Chinese Jia League
31.08.24	Guangxi Pingguo Haliao - Qingdao Red Lions	3:2 ✺
24.08.24	Guangxi Pingguo Haliao - Shijiazhuang Gongfu	0:0 ✺
17.08.24	Wuxi Wugou - Guangxi Pingguo Haliao	0:0 ✺
20.07.24	Guangxi Pingguo Haliao - Dalian Young Boy	0:2 ✺
Chinese FA Cup
17.07.24	Henan Songshan Longmen - Guangxi Pingguo Haliao	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 WTTLL

Latest Head to Head

Chinese Jia League
01.05.24	Guangxi Pingguo Haliao - Yunnan Yukun	1:0
Chinese FA Cup
30.05.23	Yunnan Yukun - Guangxi Pingguo Haliao	2:0

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