The best margin for this event is 5.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Yangpyeong 35.8%
Draw 27.8%
Ulsan Citizen 36.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
39.2%
28.8%
31.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
40.6%
29.8%
30.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Yangpyeong has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)
Ulsan Citizen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Yangpyeong than the current prediction. (+4.8%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ulsan Citizen than the current prediction. (-5.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ulsan Citizen, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Yangpyeong - Ulsan Citizen Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
21', 0 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
71', 1 - 1, ⚽,
78', 2 - 1, ⚽,
Preview
Crucial home points are at stake for a lower-table team looking to climb out of danger (ranked 13th and 9th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Yangpyeong won 2.
Yangpyeong is on a difficult losing run (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
Performances by Ulsan Citizen have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.
In the last 7 head-to-head meetings, Yangpyeong has recorded 2 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 6:6 (averaging 0.9:0.9 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Yangpyeong against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with 3:3 goals (averaging 1:1 per game).